Decision-making inside a football club
What are two important criteria that are helpful for the decision-making inside a club?
Correlation criterion (Team Level)
Consistency criterion (Player-Level)
Expected goals: How reliable is the common practice of outcome-based performance evaluation?
Factors influencing the scoring probability of a shot
Estimate the likelihood of a shot to become a goal with historical data
xG contains more relevant information on future team performances than team outcomes
Quality vs. quantity of shots
What are Limitations for xG?
Using xG for decision making: Identifying situations where randomness was an important driver of the result
Wise and unwise dismissals
-> categorization of (non)dismissals into wise/unwise using expected goals
-> Treatment and control group matching
Wise and unwise dismissals (2)
Conclusion
Posession value
Posession value added
Last changed2 years ago
