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by Anna L.

The ridge regression, relative to least squares, is:

  1. More flexible and hence will give improved prediction accuracy when it increase in bias is less than its decrease in variance

  2. More flexible and hence will give improved prediction accuracy when its increase in variance is less than its decrease in bias.

  3. Less flexible and hence will give improved prediction accuracy when its increase in bias is less than its decrease in variance.

  4. Less flexible and hence will give improved prediction accuracy when its increase in variance is less than the decrease in bias.


Less flexible and hence will give improved prediction accuracy when its increase in bias is less than its decrease in variance.


Explanation: Ridge regression and lasso’s advantage over least squares is rooted in the bias-variance trade-off. As λ increases, the flexibility of the ridge regression fit decreases leading to decreased variance but increased bias. The relationship between λ and variance and bias in this regression method is the key holder to understanding the relationship. When there is small change in the training data, the least squares coefficient produces a large change and larger value for variance. Whereas ridge regression can still perform well by trading off a small increase in bias for a large decrease in variance. Hence, between these two methods, ridge regression works best in situations where the least squares estimates have high variance. The big difference between ridge and lasso is that lasso performs variance selection and makes it easier to interpret.

Explain whether each scenario is a classification or regression problem, and indicate whether we are most interested in inference or prediction. Finally, provide n and p.


(a) We collect a set of data on the top 500 firms in the US. For each firm we record profit, number of employees, industry and the CEO salary. We are interested in understanding which factors affect CEO salary.

(b) We are considering launching a new product and wish to know whether it will be a success or a failure. We collect data on 20 similar products that were previously launched. For each product we have recorded whether it was a success or failure, price charged for the product, marketing budget, competition price, and ten other variables.

(c) We are interested in predicting the % change in the USD/Euro exchange rate in relation to the weekly changes in the world stock markets. Hence we collect weekly data for all of 2012. For each week we record the % change in the USD/Euro, the % change in the US market, the % change in the British market, and the % change in the German market.

  1. Regression - CEO salary is continuous.

  2. Inference - we are looking to understand the relationship between the predictors on CEO salary.

  3. n = 500, p = 3 (profit, number of employees, industry).


  1. Classification - products are either success or failure.

  2. Prediction - primarily concerned with whether product will succeed or fail.

  3. n = 20, p = 13 (price charged for product, marketing budget, competition price, +10 other variables).


  1. Regression - percentage change in USD/Euro exchange rate over time is continuous.

  2. Prediction - we are seeking to predict % change in USD/Euro exchange rate.

  3. n = 52, p = 3 (% change US, % change British market, % change German market).


Carefully explain the differences between the KNN classifier and KNN regression methods.

KNN (K-Nearest Neighbors) is a simple, non-parametric method that can be used for both classification and regression. However, there are differences in the way the method is applied and the results it produces in each case.

KNN Classifier: The KNN classifier is a supervised learning algorithm used for classification. In KNN classification, the goal is to predict the class label of a new data point based on the class labels of its nearest neighbors in the training data. The algorithm works by calculating the distances between the new data point and all the points in the training set, then selecting the K nearest neighbors (based on a distance metric such as Euclidean distance), and finally assigning the new point to the class label that is most common among its K nearest neighbors.

KNN Regression: The KNN regression is a supervised learning algorithm used for regression. In KNN regression, the goal is to predict a continuous target value for a new data point based on the values of its nearest neighbors in the training data. The algorithm works similarly to the classification method, but instead of choosing the most common class label, the average target value of the K nearest neighbors is used to make the prediction.

So, in summary, the main difference between KNN classifier and KNN regression is the type of prediction being made. In classification, the goal is to predict a class label based on a majority vote of the K nearest neighbors, whereas in regression the goal is to predict a continuous target value based on the average of the target values of the K nearest neighbors.

Author

Anna L.

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