Was ist “security”?
Definitionen:
A nation is secure to the extent to which it is not in danger of having to sacrifice core values if it wishes to avoid war, and is able, if challenged, to maintain them by victory in such a war. (Walter Lippmann 1943: 51)
Security, in any objective sense, measures the absence of threat to acquired values and in a subjective sense, the absence of fear that such values will be attacked. (Arnold Wolfers 1962: 150)
Security itself is a relative freedom from war, coupled with a relative high expectation that defeat will not be a consequence of any war that should occur. (Ian Bellany 1981: 102)
National security may be defined as the ability to withstand aggression from abroad. (Giacomo Lucuani 1989: 151)
Security – insecurity is defined in relations to vulnerabilities – both internal and external – that threaten or have the potential to bring down or weaken state structures, both territorial, and institutional, and governing regimes. (Mohammed Ayoob 1995: 9)
In the case of security, the discussion is about the pursuit of freedom from threat. When this discussion is in the context of the international system, security is about the ability of states and societies to maintain their independent identity and their functional integrity. (Barry Buzan 1991: 18)
What is meant by security as a condition?
➢Negative: Absence of threat
➢Positive: Presence of something valued
➢Objective as well as subjective
What is meant by security as a value?
➢Means of claiming something as important
What is meant by security as a good/commodity and a process?
➢Provided on an equal basis vs. a commodity
➢Type of politics & practice where normal rules do not apply
What is security?
Threats:
➢Require an enemy
➢Anticipation of harm inflicted by another
➢Relate to actions, intentions and capabilities of an actor
Vulnerabilities:
➢Do not require an enemy
➢Require the anticipation of a future event that one is not prepared for
Risks:
➢Probability X consequence
How has the study of security evolved over time?
1914 World War I
1939 World War II and failure of Leage of Nations
1945 Nuclear Weapons
1947 Cold War
1958 Intercontinential ballistic missile (ICBN)
1973 OPEC crisis
1975 End of Vietnam War
1989 End of Cold War
2001 9/11
2022 War in Ukrain
What are security studies focusing on?
Possibility of major conflict between U.S. and Soviet Union.
Role of nuclear weapons
Deterrence
Mutually assured destruction (MAD)
Security Studies was unable to respond to some security issues even during the Cold War:
Vietnam War
Post-colonial wars of national liberation
Regional conflicts
OPEC oil embargo
Challenged by other disciplines: Peace studies, international political economy etc.
Implication of the end of the Cold War
Major rethink of security:
Questioning of the importance of military power
Reexamination of how security was analyzed
Reflection of what should be included in the analysis of security
➢Process of broadening and deepening on the empirical and theoretical level.
What are new challenges after 2022?
Dependency
Role of individuals
Technology
Social Media
WMDs
Armaments race?
Nato & Military spending
Armed support
World War 3?
What are the Actors in “Neo-Realism”?
States are the main actors in IR
Want to survive
Rational
What is the structure in “Neo-Realism”?
The structure of the international system is anarchic
No trust; suspicion
Self help system
Power as a means of survival
Power=capabilities (military)
Relative gains
International politics depends on the distribution of capabilities
Who made the theory of “Neo-Realism”?
Kenneth Waltz
How does “Neo-Realism” work?
The international system consists of units (states) and the structure
The structure is made up of three elements:
Ordering principle: anarchy
Functional specification: No division of labour self-help system.
Distribution of capabilities
Structure of the international system Behavior of states
What are the systems of “Neo-Realism”?
Bipolar systems: Most peaceful
Unipolar systems: Conflictual
Multipolar systems: Most conflictual
Security dilemma: “A structural notion in which the self-help attempts of states to look after their security needs tend, regardless of intention, to lead to rising insecurity for others as each interprets its own measures as defensive and measures of others as potentially threatening” (John H. Herz)
What are the key concepts of “Neo-Realism”?
What are types of “Neo-Realism“?
Offensive Neorealism (John Mearsheimer):
states strive for as much power / capabilities as possible.
Aim for Hegemony.
Defensive Neorealism (Kenneth Waltz):
states strive for as much power as is needed to defend themselves.
Aim to balance other states
What is “Neoliberal Institutionalism”?
There are proliferating channels of interaction and communication
The world is in a situation of complex interdependence
Security does not dominate politics
Institutions exert causal force on states‘ relations by shaping their preferences and locking them into cooperative agreements
Level of institutionalization effects behavior
State seek absolute gains
What are the institutions in “Neoliberal Institutionalism”?
„Persistent and connected sets of rules (formal and informal) that prescribe behavioural roles, constrain activity, and shape expectations.“ (Robert O. Keohane)
What are the effects of Institutions?
Open durable channels of communication for information exchange
Solve trust and distribution problems between rational actors and thereby make cooperation possible/more likely
Reduce uncertainty. They stabilize expectations on future behavior of other actors
Create roles for states and with it expectations and trust
Reduce transaction costs in dealings between states and thereby create incentives for further cooperation
Provide governments with decision rules for policy areas and relieves them from finding alternative solutions themselves
They are important for establishing binding benchmark decisions for right and wrong behavior between states
Monitor and sanction for compliance
What is “Democratic Peace Theory”?
“closest thing we have to an empirical law in the study of International Relations” (Levy 1989: 88).
Why do democracies not fight each other?
Why are they more inclined to fight with non-democracies?
What are the Institutional Reasons for Peace in the “Democratic Peace Theory”?
Citizens have to consent to war and do not want to pay the cost of war (death, destruction etc.)
Elections: Reelections depend on winning the conflict – Risk avers politicians
Checks & balances: Prevent escalation; civilian control of military; transparency of decision making process; slowness
Existing conflict resolution mechanisms: solve conflict prior to outbreak of violence
What are Institutional Reasons for War in the “Democratic Peace Theory”?
Elections: Rally around the flag effect; divert attention away from internal problem; election of populists
Checks & balances: Distrust due to a lack of checks & transparency; opaque nature of the authoritarian political system; reduced control over military in situations of crisis
What are Normative Reasons for Peace in the “Democratic Peace Theory”?
Shared norms and political ideas prevent war
Other side is seen as legitimate
Difficult to justify war
Difficult to gain public support
What are normative reasons for war in the “Democratic Peace Theory”?
Absence of shared norms
Non-democracies are seen as illegitimate
Lack of trust
Find distinctions of self vs. other
Distinction made between „evil“ government and „innocent“ population.
What are political/economic reasons for peace due to “democratic peace theory”?
Form security communities – prevents violence among democracies
Peace as more economically beneficial than war
Economic Interdependence
What are political reasons for war due to “democratic peace theory”?
Security communities reduce the risks & costs of war
Democracies are less likely to lose
Make preemptive war more likely
What are some of the future risks/threats IR & Security Studies will have to incorporate?
How will the war in Ukraine effect Security Studies?
How much security is needed?
How effective is security policy if it results in ‘blowback‘ and the rise of other threats?
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