Takeover Options
-Friendly Deals
-Unsolicited “friendly” bid
-Hostile Bid
Fiduciary Out
-Target board is required to consider other offers until target’s shareholders render their final approval (Even with friendly agreement)
-Ramifications for bidders —> prepare for rival bidder
Merger Negotiations
-No Shop Provisions
-Go Shop Provisions
No Shop Provisions
Where bidder requires target not to solicit bids after bidder makes offer
Go Shop Provisions
Bidder makes offer and then asks the target to go shop the company
Termination Fee
Fee that gets paid if the target ends up being sold to someone else
Price Effects after Bid
-Acquirer’s stock price often falls (if bidder withdraws —> price rises)
-Target’s stock price rises (if bidder withdraws —> price declines)
Toehold
Allows less expensive purchase of a target’s stock
Effects Toehold
-Lower average cost of takeover
-Bidder has leverage with target management
Types of Toehold
-Short-Term: Held < 6 months from offer date
-Long-Term: Held > 6 months from offer date
Toehold Costs
-Disclosure: file with SEC within 10 days of acquiring 5%
-Cost related to failed bid (share prices falls)
-May not get termination fee (target reacts negative to toehold)
Runup & Markup
-Runup
stock price in upward movement prior to announcement of bid
-Markup
how much is offer price above price on annoucement date
-Premium
Runup + Markup
Hostile Bids
-Information Asymmetry
-Bidder has to make offer without knowledge of possible friendly deal
-Bid based on public avaible data
-Target access its worth better than bidder —> bidder in disadvantage
M&A Arbitrage
-Riskless Arbitrage
-Risk Arbitrage
Riskless Abritrage
Buying & selling the same asset in different markets & different prices
Risk Arbitrage
Buying shares in potential or actual targets & possibly selling shares in acquirers
Risk Arbitrage Return
-Gain on sread between acquisition price & arbitrage purchase price
-Short sale also possible
Sources of Risk in Risk Arbitrage
-That Deal may be canceled
-Financing environment may change
-Sub-prime crisis of 2007
Sources of Arbitrage Risk: Deal Cancellation
-Regulatory Approval may not be secured
-Material Adverse change clause may be activated
Arbitrage & Bidder Downward Price reactions after Bid
-Arbitragers may play significant role
Assume market will react negatively so short-sell stock of bidder
-Cause: bidder’s stock price falls
Hostile Merger Tactics
-Bear Hugs
-Tender Offers
-Proxy Fights
Bear Hugs
-Bidder brings offer directly to Target’s Directors
-Threat that hostile bid will be forthcoming
-Legal duties of directors: due diligence on offer
Examples of Bear Hugs
-Charter Communications sent bear hug to Time Warner’s Board
-Oracle sent bear hug to BEA
2 Types of Bear Hug
-Teddy Bear Hug
-Regular Bear Hug
Teddy Bear Hug
-Less threatening
-Doesn’t include a price
-Not public
Regular Bear Hug
-Includes price
-Made public
Types of Tender Offers
-Two tiered tender offers
-Best price rule
-Fair price provisions
Friendly then unfriendly bidding
-1. Make an ostensibly friendly offer
-2. Do hostile tender offer
Do Target CEOs trade premiums for power
-Target shareholder returns were negatively correlated to combined company´s board
-Directors are more focused on job —> pay premium instead of paying shareholders
Glamour Firms
-Have low book / market ratios
-Popular —> high market values —> high denominator
-Market value declines due to M&A —> book/market ratio rise over time
Value Firms
-High book / market ratios
-Unpopular —> low market value —> low denominator
2 Types of Proxy Fights
-Contests for Seats on the Board of Directors (Maybe replace management)
-Contests about management proposals (M&A, antitakeover amendments)
Characteristics that cause Proxy fight success
-Management has insufficient vontig support
-Poor operating performance
-Sound alternative operating plan
Proxy Fight Costs
-Professional Fees (solicitors, attorneys)
-Communication costs
-Litigation costs
-Other fees
Voting & Insititutions
-Most shares owned by instituitons
-Institutional investors
-Investors often get proxy advisory firms to make recommendations (they follow on)
-Example: ISS
Zuletzt geändertvor einem Jahr