Methods to value startup company
-Earning multiples
-Berkus
-Market comparables
-DCF
-Venture Capital method
Earning Multiples
-Valuing the startup based on its earnings or revenue —> P/E-Ratio
-Annual revenue of $10 million and P/E of 3 —> Valuation of $30 million
-P/E-Ratio —> market price ($100) per share and EPS ($10) —> P/E = 10
-Comparing P/E to comparables (15) —> Overvalued (20) or undervalued (10)
Net Asset Value
-Based on value of company’s assets – liabilities
-Calculate the value of the company´s assets (tangible & intangible)
-Substract liabilities from asset value —> net asset value
Pro & Con of Net Asset Value
-Pro: objective value of company based value of its assets
-Con: doesn’t account future earning power or growth
—> Use in conjuction with others
Market Comparables
-Comparing startup to similar companies that have been required —> reference point
-Comparables should be similar in size, industry and other relevant characteristics
-Use comparable stock price to determine value of own company
Pro & Con Market Comparables
-Pro: accounts current market conditions and the willingness of buyer to pay
-Con: difficult to find large enough comparable group
DCF
-Method involves projecting startup’s future cash flows and then discounting them back to present value
-Forecast the future Cash Flows
-Determine discount rate
-Calculate the present value of the future cash flows
-Substract the liabilities
Pro & Con of DCF
-Pro: Visualization of the company cash flows
-Con: relies on number of assumption
VC Method
-Early-stage startup valuation —> without revenues or profits
-Estimating startups potential future value & apply discount for risk-level
-Determine the liquidation preference —> multiple return for VC before other investors
-Determine expected return
-Calculate the company’s value
Pro & Con VC Method
-Pro: useful valuation for startups without profits
-Con: assumptions that can be falsely changing
Benchmarks of Value
-Book Value
-Equity Value
-Enterprise Value
-Liquidation Value
-Terminal Value
Book Value
Per share value —> Assets - Liabilities —> NAV
Equity Value
Value of an ownership interest in a company —> represented by stock value
Enterprise Value
Value of business —> Equity and debt
Liquidation Value
Value of assets if company gets out of business & assets are sold
-Value by projecting monetary benefits that will be generated
-Discounted to present value
Terminal Value
Value of business beyond the forecasted period when FCF can be estimated
Choice of Discount Rate
-Assessment of target & volatility of CF
-Riskier investment —> higher Discount rate —> lower present value of CF
-Risks: Investment & interest rate
Discount Rate: Cost of Capital
-Target has different risk profile than acquirer
-Analysis of capital costs —> consider components of capital mix
WACC
-Average cost for borrowing & selling equity
-Low WACC: healthy business that attract investors at low cost
-High WACC: business is riskier & compensate with higher returns
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