What are the two types of equity issuance and what do they consist of ?
1) Private Equity Issuance
consists of investors and funds that make direct investments into private companies
venture capital
2) Public Equity Issuance
Initial Public Offerings (IPO)
Firms offer shares to the public for the first time
Seasoned Equity Offerings (SEO)
Public firms issue additional shares
What is the trend regarding public equity issuance in recent years?
Public equity issuance becomes less popular in recent years
Why is public equity inssuance (e.g., IPO) expensive for firms?
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Public equity issuance (e.g., IPO) is expensive for firms because firms are usually underpriced when going public
IPO underpricing arises because of information asymmetries & agency conflicts between various parties (firms, underwriters & investors)
Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)
Why do private firms want to go public?
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Private firms want to go public because they want to:
raise capital
take advantage of market timing
Other interesting reasons for IPOs:
allows firms to use their publicly-traded shares (instead of cash) to pay for future acquisitions
allows firms to have verifiable market valuation, and thus gain credibility to customers, suppliers, analysts & investors
Define IPO (Initial Public Offerings)
IPO = a company’s first share issue to the public
(private —> public)
How many IPOs in the US between
i) 1980-2000
ii) 2001-2018?
iii) what was the aveage first day return between 1980-2018?
i) 1980-2000:
an average of 310 firms went public every year
ii) 2001-2018:
an average of 104 firms went public every year
iii) 1980-2018:
average first-day return is 17.9%
What are the three steps of the IPO process using the example of Snapchat?
Step 1: Select lead underwriter
Snap elected Morgan Stanely and Goldman Sachs as lead underwriters
Step 2: Decide IPO offering price & number of shares issued
Snap: IPO offering price (17$)
Step 3: The entire number of shares from the IPO firm are sold to the market at the offering price
How can we measure the IPO short-term performance ?
Average first-day return = (1st day closing price - IPO price) / IPO price
Explanaitons of IPO short-run underpricing
1) Define the “winners curse” in the context of IPOs
2) who introduced the concept of the “winners curse” ?
1) winner's curse = a tendency for the winning bid in an auction to exceed the intrinsic value or true worth of an item.
—> gap in auctioned versus intrinsic value
2) Rock 1986
Explanations of IPO short-run underpricing
What is the “winner’s curse” built on ? What does this imply?
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Winners curse is built on information asymmetry between investors
informed vs. uninformed investors
good vs. bad issues
this causes uninformed investors to withdraw from the IPO market
—> to encourage entire market to participate, IPOs must be underpriced on average
Explain how signaling can explain short-run underpricing of IPOs
signaling also build on information asymmetry (between IPO firms & investors)
impressive first-day returns signal that the firm is better than what investors think —> investors will value these companies higher in the future
high quality vs. low-quality firms
—> IPOs are underpriced to signal the quality to investors
How does agency between the IPO firm & their underwriters explain IPO short-run underpricing?
Agency explanations between the IPO firm & their underwriters
1) Uncertainty about the market demand (firms) —> higher value of service (underwriters) —> lower offering price (lower risk)
2) Conflicting interests
Firms: maximize the issuing value (raise more money)
Underwriters: reputation/ success
Firms don’t know whether underwriters work hard enough —> incentives
—> lower offering price
How does agency between the managers & shareholders of the issuing firm explain IPO short-run underpricing?
Agency explanations between the managers & shareholders of the issuing firm
managers conduct IPO to build their empire & publicity rather than raise money
most dot.com companies have CEOs who own very little share of the company (—> no incentive at all to act in shareholders best interest)
—> these turn out to be the most heavily underpriced companies when going public
Explain how insitutional explanations can explain IPO short-run underpricing?
price stabilization
actions to prevent the IPO market price from falling below its offer price
Underwriters need to ensure that they have carefully priced the IPO firms
If glossy overvalued —> underwriters may hold legal responsibiltiy (incompetency, lack of efforts and honesty)
What are the disadvantages of going public?
1) Expensive!
2) Information revealed to the public
3) undergo stricter regulation (e.g. the Sarbanes-Oxley Act targeting public US firms; SEC)
4) Public pressure
What are the advantages of going public?
1) More & faster money!
2) Publicity
3) Ehances the firm credibility with customers, employees and suppliers
4) Monitoring is provided by external capital markets
Name the three main theories in capital structure debates?
1) Irrelevance theories: Capital Strucuture is irrelevant to firm’s value
Modigliani & Miller (MM): Under perfect market assumptions, capital sturcture does not affect firm value
2) Relevance theories:
Trade-off theroy: Tax-savings vs expected costs of financial distress
Pecking order theory: Due to information asymmetry, costly to raise external capital
Market timing theory: Companies opportunistically issue shares when they are overvalued and issue debt wehn they think debt is cheap
3) Puzzling theories:
zero-leverage firms
What are the MM (1958) propositions?
MM propositions:
1) capital strucutre does not affect firm’s value, i.e., a firm’s financing decisions are entirely irrelevant for its value
2) firm value soley determined by cash flows generated by its operating assets
Example: think of firm as gigantic pizza, divided into quaters —> if now you cut each quater in half into eights, the MM proposition says that you will have more pieces but not more pizza
What are the perfect market assumptions under which MM propositions hold?
1) no corporate taxes
2) no transaction or issuance cost
3) individuals and firms can undertake financial transactions at the same prices (e.g., borrow at the same rate)
4) no asymmetric information & agency problems
5) no bankruptcy costs
Name some major shortcomings of MM theorem
leaves out tax benefits
neglects financial distress costs
does not take into account how inefficiency of financial markets affects the way firms choose their capital structure
—> MM leaves out important things
What can be concluded from looking at MM theorem?
Conclusion
once we relax MM’s perfect market assumptions, capital structure does matter to firm’s value
1) State what the Trade-off theory says
2) what is the value of the firm under the trade-off theory?
1) tax savings versus expected costs of financial distress
2) Value of firm = value of all-equity financed + PV (tax shield) - PV (cost of financial distress)
What are the two implications of the trade-off theory?
1) since there is a trade-off, there exists an optimal capital structure
2) firms that prefer debt over equity are does that face a lower likelihood of financial distress:
low business risk/ large/ profitable … basically a cash cow
—> becuase they can enjoy more tax shiled
What is the prefered financing order of a firm according to the Pecking order theory and what does each decision imply?
1) Internal Funds/ Retained Earnings
profitable
company signals to market that it’s strong (e.g. can rely on own funding) —> also brings value to the shares of the company
2) Debt Financing
confidence, undervalued
may signal to market that company is confident in meeting its borrowing obligaton
interest is tax deductable
shareholding structure of the company remains the same
3) Equity Financing
knowing that issuing equity makes investors think that a firm is overvalued, it deters firms from issuing equity
more expensive due to risk being taken by equity holders (which is why they demand higher return)
may signal market that company cannot fund itself and may have cash flow issues
may also mean the share is overvalued
—> internal finance is the cheapest form of financing, followed by debt. Issuing equity is a last resort
What are the implications of the pecking order theory?
1) there is no optimal point of capital structure
2) Equity issue is rare & only occurs when a firm is really desperate
3) Due to the information asymmetry between the firm & investors, firms that suffer the most from information problems (i.e. young, small, risky & opaque firms) are least likely to issue equity
Explain the Market timing theory
companies are more likely to issue share when they are overvalued & issue debt when the debt is cheap
also based on information asymmetry between companies and investors
What are the implications of the market timing theory?
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Implications
1) Financing decision depends on the market performance (Lucas and McDonald, 1990)
2) Managers wait until the market conditions get better
3) no optimal targets / Borrowing & issuing share are purely opportunistic
According to paper by Graham & Harvey (2001), survey CFOs about their capital strucuture decisions.
What do executives say about financing decisions of firms?
1) Strong support of trade-off theory
tax advantage is very important in determining capital structure
81% of firms have a target gearing
2) Some support for pecking order theory
firms also list financial flexibility as one of the top priorities (pocket money is preferred over other financing options)
smaller firms were more likely than large companies to raise debt when faced with insufficient internal funds
What empirical evidence for the determinants of capital structure does the study by Frank and Goyal (2009) find?
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Findings:
Firm would use more debt (and less equity) when:
its industry peers also use more debt -> there is an optimal point to “copy”
it has lots of tangible assets -> lower likelihood of bankruptcy?
it is larger —> lower likelihood of bankruptcy?
it has slower growth (cash cow) ?
it is less profitable ?
inflation is high ?
Overall: Frank & Goyals (2009) findings provide much more supports for trade-off than pecking order theory
What does the empirical evidence find about the relationship between public status and capital structure?
Brav (2009) studies differences in capital structure between private and publicly-listed comapanies
Private companies are controlled by one or a few shareholders and are also more informationally opaque (=informationell undurchsichtig)
as a result, private companies:
are much less able to seek external financing
prefer debt over equity
What does the paper “How Big Are the Tax Benefits of Debt? (Graham - Journal of Finance, 2000) investigate?
The paper:
1) works out the possible savings a firm can earn from debt
2) works out how much a firm could borrow more before the interest expenses become so large that firm loses tax savings on extra interest
3) from 1 & 2, works out the value of tax savings a firm forgoes for not having a higher level of leverage
What are findings and implicaitons from the paper “How Big Are the Tax Benefits of Debt? (Graham - Journal of Finance, 2000)?
many firms underexploit their tax saving benefits
the PV of the “foregone” benefits is up to 15% of the firm’s value
large, liquid, profitable firms with low expected distress costs use debt conservatively
Puzzle: Why don’t many firms borrow more than they currently do?
Product market factors, growth options, low asset collateral and planning for future expenditures lead to conservative debt usage
Implications:
this contradicts trade-off theories
What does the study “The mystery of zero-leverage firms (Strebulaev & Yang - Journal of Financial Economics,2013) find?
Paper poses puzzle similar to Graham (2000):
in 2000, 14% of large public US firms had zero outstanding debt
these zero-leverage firms are large, profitable & consistently pay dividends
Why they “forfeit (=verlieren) “ their tax savings from issuing more debt?
What explanations does the study “The mystery of zero-leverage firms (Strebulaev & Yang - Journal of Financial Economics,2013) offer for their findings?
They explain this showing that zero-leverage firms are:
family firms because they have incentives to maintain the legacy of famility members and thus, choose not to borrow
firms with higher CEO ownership —> as they are less diversified and personal costs of distress is substantially high
What conclusions does the lecture on capital structure draw?
1) no theory is absolutely convincing, however trade-off seems to be the most plausible
firms do have a targeted optimal capital structure
2) there remains a unsolved puzzle: many firms appear to be “undergeared”, i.e., they did not fully exploit the benefit of debt
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