Introduction
Sustainability Transitions are large-scale, sector-wide transformations
Example: Discovery of coal, invention of the steam engine, oil and gas subsequent innovation in mobility and transport
Both firms and policy makers must understand dynamics of transitions:
Policy makers might want to guide transition in a sustainable direction
Firm might want to profit from the opportunities given by a transition
The Multi-Level Perspective
The multi-level perspective explains the transformation of sectors and industries at three different levels, capturing both sources of stability and change. A transitions unfolds as a result of the interaction of processes at these three levels
1st Level: Socia-Technical Regime
2nd Level: Niches
3rd Level: Landscape
Definition
Established structured in a sector
Protected spaces that generate innovation
Exogenous developments that affect transitions and innovation
Examples
- Existing infrastructures
- Business models
- Technology standards
- Regulations
- Research labs
- Pilot projects
- Oil price changes
- Disasters such as Fukushima
- Covid-19 pandemic
- Fridays for Future Movement
Promotes
Stability
Change
According to the MLP, transitions result from interactions between different levels
The stability of the regime is challenged by changes in the niches and landscape
Stages of Transition
From the visualization below, we can identify three stages of a transition:
Pre-development
Acceleration
New, stable regime
Pre-Development Stage
Stable regime structure (i.e. soild lines in graph)
Many niche innovations unable to break through (small arrows)
Weak interactions between levels, no major changes within a regime
Acceleration Stage
Landscape developments disrupt regime
One or more niche innovations have matured to compete with regime technologies
Regimes structures break down
Chance for innovations to replace existing technologies
New Regime stage
Innovations have successfully replaced former technologies
New stable regime structures develop
Limitations of the Multi-Level Perspective
The multi-level perspective is a heuristic framework that points to key processes that often play a role in transitions
Large-scale sectoral change processes are very complex and we may see many developments that deviate from this ideal type
Causes of deviations are:
Resistance from established firms and other stakeholders may slow down transitions
e.g. energy transition in Germany is decelerating, rather than accelarating
Various transitions happening at the same time
e.g. car industry currently in transition towards electriy vehicles for a cleaner mobility. At the same time, there is a transition towards larger car moels, such as SUVs, that require more energy counteracts improvements from electrification
Firms in Transitions
From a firm perspective, a transition can also be viewed as a battle between incumbent players and newcomers (e.g. Ford vs Tesla)
Incumbent actors are typically associated with the regime level
Newcomers usually operate in niches
However, incumbent firms may also drive innovation
Often, the struggles between the old and new ways are fought even within firms (e.g. between different business units)
In other words, regime structures also exist inside organizations
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