What are the triggers for reviewing CR?
stakeholder, shareholder, works council
Loan application, prolongation, covenant breach
Public funding, support, guarantee request
Safeguarding management options
Exoneration of management
CR always has a trigger.
Driven by necessities and has a purpose.
What is a crisis?
Crisis is a situation what threatening the existence or continuation of the business model, structure and economic success
Real threat to the assets, liquidity,reputation,market position
Business as usual is not an option any longer
Mostly build up over time
Internally or externally induced
Root cause and symptoms not always obvious
Detection is live critical
What are the crisis phases?
hidden crisis phase
not detected root causes, occasional disruptions, erratic failures
Looming problems, unspecific signals, gut feeling (something isn’t quite right
Explicit crisis detection systems might react weakly
Acute outright crisis phase
continued distributions, liquidity shortage, resignations, customer churn, asset deterioration
Problem clusters & concentrations, precise signals, objective indicators
Crisis detection systems react sharply & loudly
What are the 2 root causes of a crisis ?
External root causes
No change to be directly influenced by the organisation, eg Marco environment, competition, regulations, natural desasters
Require strategic conceptionally driven reaction by the management
Internal root causes
weak leadership , flawed structures & processes, knowledge/competency gaps, outdated product, technologies, blindness
Require fully fledged re-design of the organisation, trigger personal changes
What are the crisis symptoms and how u can recognise & understand these?
crisis syphtoms
Sales & revenue decline, customer complains, order book erosion, liquidity shortfall, business partner withdrawal, poor press/media, increased attrition, internal complaints increase, asset base erosion
Recognising & uderstanding the symptoms of a crisis
financial indicator/KPI monitoring
Strong commercial finance / controlling function
Internal audit/accounting
Early warning system
Active data gathering & analysing
what are the crisis stages according to IDW S6?
Stakeholder crisis
Strategy crisis
Product and sales crisis
Corporate success crisis
Liquidity crisis
Insolvency
Order can be different, but will ultimately result at level 6.
What are the causes & measures of the stakeholder crisis?
causes
lack of trust & communication between management & stakeholders
Conflicts amongst shareholders, unclear strategic direction
Conflicts amongst management team
Relationship breakdown, no basis for constructive communication
Measures
establish mutual trustee ship, independence
Install chief restructuring officer
Re-establish regular corporate communication to re-vitalise trust
Workers council agreements to re-instate relationships with employees
Human relationships are critical, trust is fuelling success, communication is life critical
What are the causes and measures of strategy crisis ?
Causes
lack of clear vision
Mature/ out of market products
Missed technological developments
Lack of customer focus
Complexity (structure, processes)
Location disadvantage
Dependencies (people, suppliers, customers)
define vision, mission, strategy
Re-asses own product development
Enhance in house technological competencies
Refine market & customer segments, enhance marketing activities
Revisit past footprint decisions
Broaden supplier & customer base
What are the causes & measures in product & sales crisis?
weak Produkt Portfolio
Poor product & CS quality
Flawed pricing
Insufficient product offerings
Poor marketing/advertising
Weak social media communication
Ineffective sales activities
Overall front line weaknesses
re-design based on market needs assessment
Upgrade of CS by training & upscaling
Competitive price adjustments
Communication & campaign re-assessment & design
Upgrade sales personnel, new hires, training
What are the causes & measures of corporate Success crisis?
decline in demand, in revenues, in gross profit, in profit
Cost increases
Profitability decline, margin decline, value decline
Equity deterioration, indebtedness increase (risk of negative equity)
Sales price dilution (competition)
performance improvement program to include cost saving initiative (travel, training, office location reduction)
Equity increase by new rights issuance
sales price assessment
Re-design pricing
What are the causes and measures of liquidity crisis?
complex financing structure (Too many banks, loans, obligations)
Clotted risks in timing, banking partners
Asychrone due dates with receivables - payables
Poor working capital management
Lack of treasury transparency
Simplify financing structure
Optimise receivables & payables management (dunning process, payment terms)
Factoring
Asset sale ( non-critical items)
Shareholder loan management
Investment review
What are the crisis detection methods and how it is regulated in Germany?
crisis detection methods
there is no “one size fits for all” solution
Big multiple indicators
Alarm bells
Warning signals
Mostly across the entire organisation which points towards crisis
Informal and formally established methods complementing each other
experience is the key
Ruled in Germany
Management of a corporation (KapG) is legally obliged to conduct risk analysis and crisis detection continuously regardless of size
In case of a crisis detection they must implement counter measures and report to shareholder immediately
§ 1 abs. 1 Satz 1 StaRUG
What are the crisis metrics and how distinguishs IDW this metrics?
basically all financial metrics can serve as crisis assessment criteria, definition is key but not all metrics deliver what they promise
IDW distinguishs metrics betweeen liquidity, profit and asset
What is the expert opinion of IDW?
The IDW S6
basic structure to understand logic and conceptual thinking
High practical relevance for all restructuring related activities
Guideline for practitioners even outside the audit profession
Jurisdiction relies on S6
What are the requirements for CR concepts ?
Managerial requirements
factual situation, based on available company owned data, proper deep dive analysis
Positive going concerns, objective survival fitness with objective, measure assessment
CR measures already initiated and purposeful measures start to prove, profitability will most likely return
Economic requirements
realistic chance to be successfully restructured, liquidity is given over the CR period
Market position allows succesfull competition
Internal structures continue to work
Resonable profitability
Otherwise insolvency
What are the key elements of CR requirements?
positive going concern
Corporate planning has to provide a sustainable and realistic aspiration of the business future
Sufficient capital
It is more likely than not that the business is going to be successful
Ability t deliver sustainable profitability by being a successful competitor
Sector specific assessment and comparison required
Alternatively use rating assessments, balance sheet KPIs or objective benchmarks
What is the structure of S6 expert opinion?
Description of the S6 purpose
Basic information of the company’s situation (“as is” state)
Crisis assessment, stage, root cause, insolvency?
Draft target picture of future “should be” state and measures to get there
Intergrated corporate panning incl. summary of successful CR potential
What are the items for “as is” and “should be “?
production & sales
Marketing & procurment
Research & development
Finance, Legal & HR
Leadership structure processes
IT & system support
Compliance, sustainability, regulatory
What is the reflection on “as is” situation?
understanding the business is critical to define measures and the landing point
The business is a living organism which needs to be understood
Nothing is cast in stone, all is fluent because man driven
What is the draft target of “should be” state?
how should the future of the organisation look like
Potentials, opportunities and strengths
New business model, structure or processes
How can potentials be activated
What are the basics of “should be” future state?
has to be realistic
Relative to starting point
Relative to measures considered
Relative to competitive situation
Relative to internal abilities
What can be done in rethinking of business model?
Change of market
Defensive approach: Exit actual market place, entire redirection of resource allocation
Offensive approach: Diversify market by entering adjacent market segments
Strengthen actual market position
Defensive approach: Downsize/rightsize actual market by consolidation of Ressources and locations
Offensive approach: Go hard on competition aggressively strengthen market position
What are the strategies related to re-design?
Stand alone approach
Focus on own strength and abilities
Leverage own potential
Ringfence competencies and own capabilities
Cooperative approach
open for collaboration & cooperation with competitors
Up & down stream business partner
What are the sucessfactors of sustanigle operational CR?
The target is a sustainable,long therm, successful and resilient organisation
Stable, holistic, realistic, assumption, assumption based CR concept, supported by all stakeholders
Well balanced share and stakeholder management
Bold & effective execution of agreed CR programme
What are the value dimensions and what is the framework for the value based business model approach?
Value dimensions
Corporate strengths to satisfy customers
Product Sortiment & service offering
Internal & extrnal resources (incl. marketing, services & sales)
Leadership competencies
Value based business model approach as framework
corporate organisation is a system, element collaborating interactively
Models can help to “simplify” understanding
What can be understood as corporate strengths?
Enable value / unique selling proposition, framing actual business model
USP allows the company to satisfy customer needs successfully
Customer need satisfaction is ultimate beacon for measure assetsment
What can be understood by product Sortiment & Service offering?
focus on core product
Avoid unconfused enlargement
New product in triggers old product out
Lean Sortiment to free up capacities
Transparency is a must have to asses correctly and to decide
Creating transparency in products
product & customer profitability calculation is the key
Full cost approach on EBIT basis, or gross profit
Internal & external cost allocation tricky but necessary
Process cost allocation
Eliminate loss making products & customers
Managing product Sortiment complexity
Optimize product offerings by
Eliminate loss making products
Downsize product portfolio
Lower complexity in production and in sales execution
Streamline inventory
Increase batch size
Reduction of complexity
Go to market with optimal product portfolio
target: best possible development by selling the right product
General approach: no differentiation
Focussed approach: few product to few specific customers
Differentiated: targeted approach with optimised portfolio
Internal & external resources and value creation
assessment of value creation process by combining internal & external resources (optimise value chain)
product development
Production
Marketing/Sales/Service
Supported by back office processes:
procurement
Finance & admin
HR
IT
What are the steps of value creation process and what can be understood in analysis of the process?
Value creation process
process maturity assessment
Deconstruct value chain for detailed assessment of each process element
Focus on core process chain links
Focus on key personal responsibilities
Joined assesment & review & agreement
Elaborate measures to Re-structure
Analysis
Analysis of value creation process as starting point for CR measures “as is” assessment of elements;
strengths / weaknesses
Relevance for corporate success / value creation
Definition of target efficiency / profitability contribution
What are the CR measures in product development?
focus on market relevance
Focus on selling price & production cost
Involve all relevant functions
Reduce product/ Sortiment complexity
Reduce time to market by front loading
Active project controlling
What are the CR measures in production process ?
Target: improve production output
Assessment of;
location: (local vs global, access to resources, talents
Asset quality : age of technology, maintenance, customer needs
Shop floor: daily workflows in factory, people involment
What are the CR measures in Marketing, Sales & Service?
MS&S functions must perform no matter what
Identity “Hunters” & “farmers”
Asses internal sales (support), online sales
Optimisation of front line activities is critical for successful CR:
driving top line sales revenues
Retain customers
Gain new customers
What are the leadership competencies?
disciplined leadership by management team: structure, people, performance
Reduced organisational complexity
Lean processes within this structure
Structure follows strategy
What are the performance measurement for CR actions?
5 major KPIs
Return on equity
Profit margin
Net dept ratio
Debt equity ratio
Free cash flow
Performance does require;
disciplined approach
Clear focus on profitability before growth
Consequence before artificial harmony
Strategy before tactics
What are the purposes of financial CR measures?
avoid insolvency
Avert liquidity shortfall
Maintain payment fire power to fulfill legal obligation
Secure positive going concern
Secure liquidity to run business
Operational CR complemented by financial CR to secure long term sustainable corporate success
What are the financial CR measures?
Due date related FCR: (direct cash impact)
extending a term of payment
Moratorium, keeping still agreement, creditor does not exercise her rights
Eliminate termination rights
Bilateral agreements with suppliers & business partners
subordination: contractual agreement with debtor that rightful claim is served after all other creditors
Liquidity related FCR measures
free up existing liquidity reserves by monetarising financial assist
Sale of non-critical assets: liquidate all assets not relevant for business purpose
Working capital management: recent analysis: WC equals 2 times sales revenue, continue to increase
Capital structure related FCR measures
cancellation of debt: creditors deliberately write off receivables
Combination of cancellation with improvement earn out: repayment with future profits
Dept equity swap: dept creditor become a shareholder
Security related FCR measures - assed based
transfer by way of security: asset purchased by fund is owned by creditor
Reservation of title for suppliers
Assignment of claims
Mortgage & land charge: property related securities provided to creditor
security related FCR measures - personal based
personal security/surety: unwriter securities fulfillment of obligation, legal variations foster flexibility (Bürgschaft)
Collateral promise: securer enters into fulfilment obligation with debtor (schuldbeitritt)
Guarantee: guaranteed fulfilment of obligation (Garantie)
Surety for payment (Aval): security provided by bank for company
What are the specific measures in working capital management WCM?
Receivables management
guidelines of how to manage Rec
Prober customer assessment
Optimise invoicing, minimise complaints
Optimise collection process
Efficient master data management
Inventory management
re-focus stock procurement Just in time
Re-visit product portfolio: styles, options, colours, reduction is the key
Manage returns: reduction of items received
Stock accounting optimisation, valuation, physical count, transparency
Payables management
disciplined spending behaviours, spending guideline, tight controlling
Personal relationship management
Transparent open communication, balance clarity & dependency
Targeted planning of cash outflow obligations
Cash & liquidity management
transparency is key, understanding all bank accounts, daily status
Liquidity reporting daily, top down communication
Planning in- and outflow for 12 weeks minimum (6 months preferred)
Validate liquidity inflows & outflows
What are the specific measures of liquidity related FCR measures?
Working capital management
Leasing , sale & lease back, factoring
leasing: pay rent for asset
Rent & buy: fix rental period & pre determined purchase
Sale & lease back: selling assets thus create liquidity
Factoring: off load receivables with discount, cash in now
Shareholder loan
Managing actual banking credit relations
Equity injections
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