Forward Contract
A transaction involving the delayed delivery of two currencies on an agreed future date, at an agreed price. Forward contracts are generally not traded on organized exchanges, and their contractual terms are not standardized.
Currency Swap
A contract between two parties to exchange sequences of payments during a specified period, where each sequence is tied to a different currency.
Covered Interest Parity (CIP)
A financial theory stating that the forward exchange rate between two currencies should equal the spot exchange rate adjusted for the interest rate differential between the two currencies. It ensures no arbitrage opportunities exist.
Spot Transaction
A transaction involving the exchange of two currencies at a rate agreed on the date of the contract for settlement in two business days or less.
Foreign Exchange Swap
A transaction involving the actual exchange of two currencies on a specific date at a rate agreed at the time of the conclusion of the contract, and a reverse exchange of the same two currencies at a date further in the future at a rate agreed at the time of the contract.
Nominal Exchange Rate
The price of a base currency in terms of the quote currency. Spot transactions have immediate delivery, while forward transactions have future delivery.
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
A financial theory stating that the expected return from investing in different currencies should be equal, implying that the change in the nominal exchange rate should exactly compensate for any difference in interest rates.
HML FX Portfolio
A portfolio that is long high-interest rate currencies and short low-interest rate currencies, used to explain the cross-section of currency returns through exposure to global risk factors.
Carry Trade Strategy
An investment strategy that involves borrowing in low-interest rate currencies and investing in high-interest rate currencies to profit from the interest rate differential.
Backwardation
A market condition where futures prices are below the expected spot prices, often due to the desire of commodity producers to hedge against future price fluctuations.
Contango
A market condition where futures prices are above the expected spot prices, often due to consumers hedging against future price increases.
Roll Return
The return generated from rolling over futures contracts as they approach maturity, particularly when the price of the contract being sold is higher than the price of the contract being purchased.
Foreign Exchange Market
A global decentralized market for trading currencies, with a daily trading volume exceeding $7 trillion, higher than global stock markets and GDP.
FX Derivatives
Financial instruments whose value is derived from the exchange rates of two currencies. Examples include forwards, futures, options, and swaps.
Settlement Risk
The risk that one party will fail to deliver the terms of a contract with another party at the time of settlement.
Spot Exchange Rate
The current exchange rate at which a currency pair can be bought or sold. It involves immediate delivery.
Forward Exchange Rate
The agreed-upon exchange rate for a currency pair to be exchanged at a future date.
Log Spot Exchange Rate
The natural logarithm of the spot exchange rate, often used in financial models to simplify calculations.
Log Forward Exchange Rate
The natural logarithm of the forward exchange rate, used in financial models to predict future exchange rates.
Risk-Free Rate
The theoretical return on an investment with zero risk, typically represented by government bonds.
Covered Interest Rate Parity (CIP)
A condition where the forward exchange rate eliminates arbitrage opportunities by equating the returns on domestic and foreign investments.
A theory stating that the difference in interest rates between two countries is equal to the expected change in exchange rates between the countries' currencies.
Arbitrage
The simultaneous purchase and sale of an asset to profit from a difference in the price in different markets.
Regression Analysis
A statistical method used to examine the relationship between variables, often used to test financial theories like UIP.
Carry Trade
An investment strategy that involves borrowing in a currency with a low interest rate and investing in a currency with a high interest rate.
Downside Risk
The potential loss in value of an investment, particularly in adverse market conditions.
Commodity
Essential raw materials from the primary sector, such as agriculture and mining, including energy, metals, and agricultural products.
Commodity Futures
Standardized contracts to buy or sell a specific commodity at a future date at a predetermined price.
A market condition where futures prices are below the expected spot prices, often due to producers hedging against future price fluctuations.
Corporate Bond
A security issued by a debtor to its creditors promising a certain repayment structure
Yield-to-Maturity (YTM)
The average return assuming reinvestment of coupons at this average return
Modified Duration (MD)
A measure of the sensitivity of a bond's price to changes in its yield
Bond Risk Premium
The extra return required by investors for holding long-term bonds
Seniority
The priority a claim receives in default, with more senior claims paid first
Bond Covenant
Contractual arrangements to mitigate the bondholder-shareholder conflict
Callable Bond
A bond that the issuer can buy back at a pre-specified price
Putable Bond
A bond that the investor can sell back to the issuer at a pre-specified price
Convertible Bond
A bond that can be converted into shares of company stock
Credit Spread
The extra yield on a corporate bond relative to a comparable government bond
Credit Rating
An independent opinion on the creditworthiness of an issuer or specific issue
Credit Default Swap (CDS)
A financial contract that hedges against credit risk by paying an annuity premium
Liquidity Risk Premium
The extra yield required by investors for holding less liquid bonds
Fallen Angel
A bond that has been downgraded from investment grade to non-investment grade
Cross-Section of Returns
The variation in returns across different bonds or securities
Recovery Rate
The percentage of a bond's value recovered in the event of default
Transition Matrix
A matrix showing the probability of a bond moving from one rating to another over time
Structural Model of Bond Pricing
A model that uses option pricing theory to value corporate debt
The theoretical return on an investment with zero risk, typically represented by government bonds
Default Probability
The likelihood that a bond issuer will fail to make the required payments
Expected Default Loss
The product of the default probability and the loss given default
Credit Risk Premium
The extra yield required by investors for bearing credit risk
Liquidity Premium
The extra yield required by investors for holding less liquid assets
Tax Effects
The impact of taxes on the yield and pricing of bonds
Investor Preferences
The preferences of investors for certain types of bonds, such as green bonds
Agency Conflict
The conflict of interest between bondholders and shareholders
Rating Transition
The movement of a bond's rating from one category to another
Distance-to-Default
The number of standard deviations that firm value is away from the default point
KMV Model
A model that maps the distance-to-default to an expected default rate using historical data
CDS-Bond Basis
The difference between the CDS spread and the bond yield spread
Illiquidity Measure
A measure of the transitory component of observed bond prices
Fire-Sale Prices
The low prices at which bonds are sold when investors are forced to sell
Multi-Factor Model
A model that explains the cross-section of bond returns using multiple factors
Profitability
An equity market factor that predicts bond returns
Asset Growth
Lagged Equity Returns
Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO)
A portfolio optimization technique that requires high-quality input estimates for expected returns, volatilities, and correlations
Estimation Error
The difference between the true and the estimated value of a parameter
Minimum Variance Portfolio (MVP)
A portfolio that minimizes risk for a given level of expected return
Risk Parity
An investment strategy that allocates capital based on the risk contribution of each asset
Equal Volatility
An investment strategy that allocates capital based on the reciprocal values of assets' volatilities
Market Cap Weights
Portfolio weights based on the market capitalization of assets
Robust Optimization
Techniques that emphasize the worst outcome within the uncertainty set
Portfolio Resampling
Simulating scenarios, optimizing, and averaging allocations across scenarios
Diversification
Spreading investments across different assets to reduce risk
Rebalancing
Adjusting portfolio allocations back to target weights to maintain diversification
Hedging
Taking offsetting positions to reduce risk
Insurance
Paying an upfront cost to limit specific downside risks
Dynamic Risk Control Strategies
Strategies that adjust the portfolio based on market conditions to control risk
Stop-Loss Rules
Selling risky assets when the portfolio value hits a predetermined floor
Option-Based Portfolio Insurance (OBPI)
Combining a long position in a risky asset with a protective put to guarantee a minimum wealth level
Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance (CPPI)
Investing a fixed multiplier of the cushion (difference between portfolio value and protection level) in risky assets
Volatility Targeting
Adjusting positions in risky assets based on estimated volatility to enhance returns
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