Fiscal vs. Money Policy
Money Supply shifts and impact on interest rates
What is quantitative easing?
Quantitative easing (QE) is a monetary policy where central banks buy financial assets, like government bonds, to inject money into the economy and lower long-term interest rates. This increases liquidity, encourages borrowing and investment, and stimulates economic growth.
impact on monetary changes on the economy and prices
Suppose money supply has risen significantly in the UK and remains strong for several quarters. Three ecpected impacts on the UK property market?
interest rates will fall - borrowing gets cheaper
more aggregate spending, more liquidity in the property market (more transactions)
falling yields and more demand lead to price growth
depreciation of the pound results in more foreign capital investing in the UK
If the budget deficit widens, what can we infer about the state of the economy and the direction of a possible discretionary policy? Your views should be expressed succinctly.
State of the Economy:
A widening budget deficit often reflects economic challenges, such as a slowdown or recession, as governments increase spending to support growth or face declining tax revenues.
It may also signal higher borrowing needs to fund expenditures.
Direction of Discretionary Policy:
Expansionary fiscal policy: The government likely implements measures like increased spending or tax cuts to stimulate demand and economic activity.
This could indicate active countercyclical efforts to address weak economic conditions.
Explain yield spread
y= rf + rp - g +d
rf: mostly the same
rp: different, caused by higher liquidity in one market, transparency, higher operational costs
g: stronger or weaker rental growth
d: higher/lower depreciation
Capital Flow to Londons´ Office market
high transparency and data availability
currency exchange - depreciation of the pound
interest rates low - cheaper borrowing, higher leverage effect
positive market outlook: rental growth
buildings might be undervalued
derived demand
office demand is derived from business activities
higher business activities could be reflected in employment levels, likely to require more space
Possible determinants of take up for office space in the City of London in 2024
Changes in the floorspace per employee ratio. If this ratio rises the impact on demand from new working practices may not be significant.
the level of rent (Could be considered too high by occupiers so they economies on space),
incentives from landlords (to entice occupiers not to cut back on space they occupy or let more)
Office rent differences with substitutes markets (Westend, midtown etc,)
levels of shadow vacancy (high levels of which can constrain take up)
New working practices e.g. home office will also affect take up – firms might require less space
Bank rate will fall - implications for real estate
costs of borrowing will be cheaper
stabilise or compress yields
higher demand for real estate as they may offer higher returns than bonds - more liquidity
leading to higher prices and, therefore valuations
positive output gap
actual output exceeds potential output, often caused by inflationary pressure
Bank deposit multiplier
bank deposits create money through lending activites
If the government increases spendings on public buildings, what would be the impact on national income and what would determine this impact
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