Cost Management - Key Concepts
Cost Estimating (Planning) - The process of developing an approximation of the cost of the resources needed to complete project activities
Cost Budgeting (Planning) - The process of aggregating the estimated costs ofmindividual activities or work packages to establish a cost baseline
Cost Control (Monitoring and Controlling) - The process of influencing the factors that create variances, and controlling changes to the project budget
The bare minimum
The bare minimum that you must be able to report as a project manager is where the project actually is in terms of cost against the planned budget, today
Example:
Five Rules of Thumb for Estimating Costs
The fully loaded cost of an employee is double their base salary
All actual IT costs and timescales will tend to be close to double the estimated costs
Assume 180 to 200 effective working days per year per full-time employee
assume that projects have at most a 50% chance of delivering on time and on budget and to user expectations
Prior probability is the best guide to future probabilities
Cost Management Process Groups
Cost Estimating - Inputs
Project scope statement
Work breakdown structure
Organizational process assets
WBS dictionary
Enterprise environmental factors
Project management plan
Cost Estimating - Tools and techniques
Conference method:
Analogous estimatin
Vendor bid analysis
Account analysis method:
Determine resource cost rates
Project management software
Engineering methods or quantitative analysis:
Bottom-up estimating
Parametric estimating
Reserve analysis
Cost Estimating - Outputs
Activity cost estimates
Activitiy cost estimates, supporting detail
Required changes
Cost management plan
Cost Budgeting - In- and Outputs and tools and techniques
Budgeting takes as its key input the cost estimates for activities or work packages that were the outputs of the cost estimation process.
The main output is a costed plan, aka COST BASELINE
Cost Baseline
Includes:
Projected costs at regular periods throughout the life of the project, in aggregate and down to the level of cost package
Costs for each work package, and costs risks for each package
Cost for each resource
Mechanisms and criteria for releasing future blocks of conditionally approved project funding
Cost warning and indicator limits
Budget and accounting codes, authorizations, limits
Cost process interfaces between the project and the performing organization
Cost Control - In- and Outputs and tools and techniques
Project cost control depends on your knowing four things:
• Planned costs
• Actual costs
• Causes of variance
• Things you can do to reduce future costs.
S-Curve
EVM Analysis: Actual Variance
Unfortunately, on its own, AV does not give us useful information.
Only at the end of the project does a deviation greater than zero havean absolutely negative meaning.
EV, AV, CV, SV, BAC, SAC, PR, TV
EV = %phisical advance * BAC
Actual Variance (AV) = AC - PV
CV = (EV - AC) = (BCWP - ACWP)
SV = (EV - PV) = (BCWP- BCWS)
Budget At Completion (BAC) - The overall budget
Schedule At Completion (SAC) - The total duration
Planned Accomplishement Rate (PR) = (BAC/SAC) - average planned cost per period [€/period].
Time Variance (TV) = (SV/PR)
EVM Analysis: Interpretation of AV, CV, SV
A deviation AV = 0 could in fact mean that:
• Everything is going as planned (or you are not controlling progresses effectively)
• More work was done but with lower cost (efficiencies in both time and cost)
• Less work was done with higher cost (inefficiencies in both time and cost)
• We are in an intermediate situatio
CV:
It answers this question, "Am I spending more than I budgeted?"
If it is positive, you are cost efficient
SV:
Answers the following question, "Did I do less work than planned?"
If it is positive, you are efficient in terms of production/work done
Interpretation Example
Cas I: AV > 0; CV > 0; SV > 0
In advance and at a lower cost#
Case II: AV < 0; CV > 0; SV < 0
Late, but cheaper
Cas III: AV > 0; CV < 0; SV < 0
Late and at greater cost
Performance Indicators
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