Definition Mempool
Memory Pool
Waiting area for valid but not confirmed transactions
Definition Node
Device linked to a network and maintaining a ledger copy
Can update the ledger and share changes with the network
Definition Token
Smart contract that lists digital asset ownership
Definition Oracle
Outside real-world data onto blockchain
Definition Digital Wallet
Wallet storing keys and transaction capabilities
Definition Incubation Period
Private trial phase where manager tests different strategy with own money before launch
Definition Triple Bottom Line
Focus on contribution for profit (economic), people (social), and planet (environmental)
Definition Data Dredging
Excessive number of statistical tests until wished result appears
Definition Autocorrelation
Correlation of a single variable with its own past values
Hours studied: 2 hours every day or an increase of 15 minutes every day
Definition Correlation Coefficient
Measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables, always ranging from −1 to +1:
Number quantifies relationship (+1 = positive relationship (high follows high); 0 = no relationship, -1 = -1 negative relation (low follows high)
Definition Regression Coefficient
Tells you how much one variable moves per unit of another — unbounded, can be any number.
Advantage Offshore Master Trust Structure
Tax-neutral jurisdiction -> only investor-level taxation in respective jurisdiction
Definition Statistical Significance
Whether result is real or just due to random chance
Definition Economic Significance
Whether effect of result is large enough to matter in practice
Calculation Credit Spread
Bond Yield - Risk-free Rate
Calculation Loss Given Default
1 - Recovery Rate
Calculation Probability of Default
Credit Spread / Loss Given Default
Definition Fund Administrator
Fund’s Back Office
Definition Depositories
Safekeep and monitor securities
Includes custodian functions + regulatory functions
Deifnition Prime Brokers
Trading Services Provider
Definition Custodians
Hold and Safeguard assets
Definition Forwards
Private, Customized Agreement between parties to buy / sell on a future date
Definition Futures
Standardized Agreement between parties to buy/sell on a future date on an exchange
Definition CAPM
Model calculating expected return of asset based on risk relative to market
Return only possible by market risk
Calculation Expected Return
Risk-free Rate + Market Risk Premium
Calculation CAPM
Risk-Free Rate + Beta * (Exp. Market Return - Risk-Free Rate)
Definition Null Hypothesis
Default statement of no effect which is tried to be rejected
Definition Alternative Hypothesis
Suspected claim there is an effect -> accepted when null hypothesis is rejected
Definition Type I Error
False positive -> rejecting null when true
Alternative Hypothese is accepted but null hypothesis should be accepted
Definition Type II Error
False Negative -> failing to reject null when false
Accepting null but alternative should be accepted
Definition Homoskedastic
Constant variance (spread/vol) across observations
Errors have constant variance
Definition Heteroskedastic
Changing variance (spread/vol) across observations
Errors have varying variance
Definition Beta
Measure of an asset’s sensitivity to market movements
Interpretation Beta
1 -> moves with market
>1 -> amplifies the market
<1 -> moves less than market
0 -> uncorrelated to market
>0 -> moves opposite to market
Definition Beta Creep
Fund’s market exposure slowly rising over time as fund gets bigger
Definition Beta Expansion
Fund’s beta increasing due to economic changes
Definition Beta Nonstationarity
Fact that beta is not constant
Definition Beta Cyclicality
Beta rising / falling aligned to economic cycles
Definition Volatility
Measure of how much an asset’s price or return move
Definition Skew
Distribution leans to one side with longer tail
Definition Platykurtic
Distribution with thin tails and flatter peak
Definition Leptokurtic
Distribution with fat tails and sharper peak
Definition Standard Deviation
Measure of average spread of values around their mean
Interpretation Standard Deviation
Small SD -> values cluster tightly around mean
HIgh SD -> values are widely spread (unpredictable)
Definition Mortgage
Loan to purchase RE, secured by that property as collateral
Repaid over time with principal + interest
Default -> lender foreclosures collateral
Calculation Total Return Mortgages
Interest Rate + Origination Fees (upfront charges paid to lender prior loan)
Calculation IP Valuation Model
(Probability of realizing CF * Potential 1. Year CF) / Discount rate + rate of decline in CF
Definition Economic Infrastructure
Assets that support economic activity and revenue dependent on economy
Definition Social Infrastructure
Assets that provide public / social services and revenue backed by government
Definition Government Infrastructure Trend
Reduced spending in infrastructure due to funding gap
Private players enter infra investments
Definition REIT
Company that owns, operates, finances income-producing RE
Public & Private REITs
Distribute 90%+ of their income
Definition Traditional Core Property Sectors
Office
Retail
Industrial
Residential
Definition Specialty Real Estate
Property types outside of traditional sectors
Purpose-built properties requiring specialized management
Definition Storage Model
Model stating that shape of forward curve is based on costs and benefits of storing the commodity
Prices reflect spot price + cost of carry
Calculation Cost of Carry
Storage Costs + Financing Costs - Convenience Yield
Definition Convenience Yield
Benefit of physically holding a commodity
Negative cost as it rewards holding in times of shortage
Definition Recourse
Lender’s right to pursue a borrower’s assets that can be executed after default
Definition Land Banking
Acquisition and Holding of land at various stages of readiness with expectation that value rises once infrastructure expands
Characteristics Infrastructure Assets
Capital intensive set up
low operating costs
natural monopolies
high barriers to entry
Definition Agency Risk
Agent makes decision in own interets rather than principals
Definition Rotation Risk
Timing risk in harvesting periods
Definition Economic Risk
Risk of Recession
Definition Counterparty Risk
Risk that Counterparty fails to meet obligations
Definition CAPM Risk Allocation
All investors hold the same risky market portfolio -> same % allocation
Risk tolerance only changes the split between risky portfolio and risk-free assets
Definition Capital Market Line
Line that shows best risk-return combinations achievable by mixing risk-free assets with the market portfolio
Definition Commodity-Linked Note (CLN)
Fully-funded (upfront payment) bond whose payoff rides on a commodity's price - commodity exposure in a debt wrapper with no leverage
Receives higher yield than plain bond
Bears credit risk of reference entity
Definition Stabilized Annual NOI
Normalized NOI the property is expected to generate once stable conditions are reached
Definition Development Yield
Expected unlevered stabilized return on the cost of development
Definition Market Cap
Return rate at which comparable properties are valued
Lower market cap relative to development yield -> more profitable
NOI / Property Value
Definition Development Spread
Gap between development yield and the market cap rate
Stabilized Annual NOI / Total Development Costs
Definition Negative Development Spread
Market Cap > Development Yield = dont build
Definition Total Development Costs
Hard Costs -> physical goods
Soft Costs -> non-physical costs
Calculation Expected Sales Price
Projected Stabilized NOI / Market Cap Rate
Definition Loan-to-cost (LTC) ratio
Ratio showing how much of a development total cost is funded by loan
Loan Amount / Total Development Cost
Lenders cap LTC to limit risk
Definition PIPE (Private Investment in Public Equity)
Publicly traded company sells privately stocks to private investors at discount
Include a lock up period before tradeable
Definition Traditional PIPE
Private investor buys shares at fixed price -> number of shares and dilution is known upfront
Definition Structured / Toxic PIPE
Structured: Investor buys shares at floating conversion price -> number of shares and dilution is unknown upfront
Toxic: Stock price drops -> conversion price drops -> investors converts into more shares -> dilutes other shareholders who are selling -> stock price drops further = death spiral
Definition Discount to Market
PIPE shares are sold below market value to entice investors to commit capital privately
Definition Vehicles issued for PIPEs
Privately placed common stock
Registered common stock
Convertible shares
Equity Line of Credit
Definition Equity Line of Credit
Agreement between company and investor
Formula-based quantity stock sell at intervals to investors
Seller can determine intervals and investor receives discount
Deifnition Redemption Triggers for Growth Equity
Time
Performance
Violations of Covenants
Definition Milestones in VC
Predefined goals a startup must reach for the next round of funding
Definition Covenants
Rules written into a loan / bond that that borrower must follow
Definition Types of Covenants
Positive (Affirmative) -> borrower must do
Negative (Restrictive) -> borrower must not do
Definition Evolution of PE Landscape in US
Decline in IPOs
Increasing number of public firms going private
Definition Carve-Out
Buy / Sell of Non-core division and spinning it off as standalone business
Definition Turnaround
Buying distressed company and restructuring back to health
Definition Efficiency Buyout
Buying a company and boosting its operational efficiency
Definition Buy-and-Build Strategy
Buying a platform company and making multiple add-on acquisitions
Definition Cat Bonds
Private Placement to transfer risk from issuer to lender
Definition Payoff Cat Bonds
No disaster -> Principal back + interest payment
Disaster -> Partial or full principal lose
Definition Reward Incentive Cat Bonds
High Yield and Uncorrelated Returns -> Great Diversifier
Definition Bond
Unsecured tradable security where investors lends money to issuer
Lender receives fixed coupons and princiapl at maturity
Many investors and traded on exchange
Issued by Corporations and Governments
Definition Loan
Direct Lending Agreement -> lender gives borrower money
Borrower pays floating rate + principal portion
Not traded, secured, one issuer / investor
Issued by companies
Definition CDS
Insurance against a borrower’s default
Protection buyer pays fixed premiums and recevies lump sum in default
Protection seller collects premiums and pays out in default
Insurance transfers risk exposure from balance sheet
Characteristics CDS
Unfunded
Lump sum payout
Definition Lump Sum
Single, one-time payment
Definition Bankruptcy Remote
Legal separation that insulates one vehicle from anther one -> both ways
Characteristics SPV in CDOs
The credit risk of the CDO's tranches depends only on the underlying assets in the SPV — Not on the health of the sponsoring bank that created it
CDO sits bankruptcy remote -> bank can go bankrupt and CDO remains unaffected
Definition CDO
Structured product of bonds, loans, other debt that pools together many debt assets and repackages them into tranches with different levels of risks and returns
Definition CDO Slices
Senior
Mezzanine
Equity
Dimensions of CDOs
1: Balance Sheet vs. Arbitrage
2: Cash-funded vs. Synthetic
3: Cash Flow vs. Market Value
Definition Synthetic CDO
CDO with no real bonds / loans inside -> uses CDS to copy credit risk -> collects premium to pay its tranche investors and pays out if default occurs
Similar to cash flow CDO but with derivatives
Participants Synthetic CDO
Sponsor Bank -> offloading risk and pays premiums
SPV -> sells protection and issues tranches
Investors -> tranche holders and protection sellers with risk bearing
Characteristics 4 States of Investment Industry
Professional (good for industry + society)
Misaligned (good for industry + bad for society)
Unnecessary (bad for industry + good for society)
Absent (bad for industry + society)
Definition SMA
Individual investment account owned by single investor but managed by professional manager
Investor directly owns the underlying assets
Offered through brokerage and managed by independent manager
Advantages of SMA
Direct ownership
Tailored objectives
Transparency
Disadvantages of SMA
No limited liability -> losses can exceed contribution
Higher minimums
More complex
Definition High-water mark
Highest NAV recorded on an incentive fee computation date
Ensures manager only earn fees on new profits
Characteristics Traditional vs. Modified HWM
Traditional: No fee at all while under mark
Modified: Reduced fee on profits while under mark -> removes perverse incentive for extreme risk & shut down
Calculation HWM
Incentive Rate * Max (NAV - HWM - Hurdle)
Definition Clearinghouse
Entity that takes other side of every exchange-traded futures trade
Acting as counterparty to reduce counterparty risk
Characteristics Clearinghouse
Novation -> contract is with clearinghouse; not other side
Margin Collection -> demands & pools collateral
Daily settlement -> marks to market
Guarantees every contract -> diversifies risk
Characteristics Clearinghouse Futures vs. Forwards
Futures have clearinghouse security -> no counterparty risk
Forwards have no clearinghouse security -> full counterparty risk
Definition Initial Margin
Collateral required position opening set by the exchange
<10% of contract’s value
Reduces counterparty risk by ensuring daily losses can be paid
Definition Maintenance Margin
Minimum collateral required on ongoing basis until closing
c. 75% of initial margin -> if collateral falls below -> Margin Call
Definition Margin Call
Demand for additional collateral -> restore initial margin level
Triggered when collateral below maintenance margin (due to mark-to-market losses)
Definition Variation Margin
Cash transferred each day between parties to settle mark-to-market gaisn / losses -> losers pay in, winners receive
Definition Marking-to-Market
Daily process of revaluing open positions at current prices and settling day’s gains / losses via variation margin
Characteristics Position falls below Maintenance Margin
Margin call is issued
If investor can’t meet -> futures commission merchant closes position at market price -> clearinghouse guarantees contract -> new counterparty steps in
Futures Commission Merchant (FCM)
Broker holding client’s account
Has right to liquidate investor’s position if margin call is not met
Characteristics Initial vs. Maintenance Relationship
Both are two threshold lines
Initial margin is being posted at opening -> from there balance moves up / down
Maintenance margin is bottom floor -> if balance drops below -> margin call
Definition Bad Leaver Clause
For-cause removal of GP for wrongdoing
Simple majority required and GP receives no compensation
Investments shut down until new GP
Definition Good Leaver Clause
Without-Cause removal -> requiring 75%+ votes
Framework for failing partnership
GP may receive some compensation
Definition Key Person Clause
Lets LP suspend activities or terminate the fund
If one / more person(s) quit, retire or don’t dedicate sufficient time
Characteristics For-Cause removal
Conditions are difficult to define and prove
Rarely litigated due to process risk -> favors GP
Definition Shadow Removal
PE -> small, reputation world
Removed GPs likely unable to raise further funds -> avoidance by agreeing to restructuring
Definition Termination Clause
Provision specifying how/when an agreement can be ended -> such as bad- / or good-leaver clauses
Definition At-Will Clause
Provision allowing a party to end relationship for any reason without cause -> similar to good-leaver clause
Definition Buy Side Institutions
Institutions that buy / sell securities for their own portolios
Example: HF, Pensions, Foundations
Definition Sell Side Institutions
Institutions that facilitate transactions and act as intermediaries
Example: Banks, Advisors
Types of PE Incentive Fee Structures
Deal-by-deal
Fund-as-a-whole
Characteristics Deal-by-deal
GP earns carry on each winning deal -> No fund netting
GP receives earlier payment, higher payout, attracts talent
LPs discourage it -> rarely seen
Characteristics Fund-as-a-whole
GP earns carry on fund’s total return after LPs recovered capital
Better GP/LP alignment, LP protection, discourages excessive risk & uses clawbacks
Definition Hurdle Rate (Preferred Return)
Return Level LPs must receive before GPs earn any carry
Every cash goes to LPs before threshold reached
Definition Catch-Up Provision
After hurdle is met -> GP receives large share of profits to catch up
Earning carry on all profits -> not just above the hurdle
Definition Clawback
Requires GP to return previously-paid carry to LPs if later losses exceed split
Protects LPs -> associated with Fund-as-a-whole
Definition Distribution Waterfall
LPA provision specifying how distributions are split and prioritized between LP and GP -> details what must be achieved before GP profit taking
Definition Selection Bias
Database disproportionately reflects managers who choose to report -> good performers opt to return -> inflates average return
Losers don’t report voluntarily
Definition Self-Selection Bias
Selection bias of the manager choosing whether to be included in database
Definition Survivorship Bias
Failed funds are dropped from the index -> disproportionately reflects surviving funds
Inflates average returns by 2-5% p.a.
Definition Backfill / Instant History Bias
When fund joins database -> prior performance is backfilled
manager start reporting after good track record
Pushes historical performance by c. 1-5% p.a.
Definition Liquidation Bias
Dying funds stop reporting final (bad) performance -> misses large negative performance
Inflates reported performance and flipside of participation bias
Definition Participation Bias
Successful manager closes fund to new investors and stops reporting -> no need for capital -> returns drop out of database
Definition Fee Bias
Distortion when fund changes its fee structure after success
Fees are raised after good performance
Reported returns don’t reflect performance / fee of new investor
Definition Hazard Rate
Proportion of Hedge Funds that drop out of database at a given fund age
Highest dropout at 14 months old
Definition Anchoring Bias
Tendency to over-rely on first piece of information (anchor) for decisions
Definition Expectation Bias
Tendency for one’s expectations to influence how information is interpreted -> skewing results to expectation
Definition Headline Risk
Negative news about hedge funds cause economic losses
Arising not from market impact but from association -> some investors don’t allocate for that
Definition Market Anomaly
Pattern in the market that shouldn’t exist in perfect efficiency
Anomaly lets you earn higher risk-adjusted returns
Investment strategies identifiable from publicly available information
Types of Market Anomalies
Price Momentum
Prive Reversal / Mean Reversion
Earnings Momentum
Net Stock Issuance
Accounting Accruals
Insider Trading
Definition Market Efficiency Test / Joint Hypothesis
Anomaly test tests two things at once:
Market efficiency (is there an anomaly?)
Is the risk model correct (e.g., CAPM)
Any found anomaly can just be a model misspecification
Definition Predicting Persisting / Alpha Decay
Anomalies with reasoned explanation are more trustworthy than purely empirical ones
Once discovered & traded -> anomaly tends to disappear (alpha decay)
Valid anomaly explain who you earn excess return from and why they keep trading against you
Definition Price Momentum
Price trend continues
Securities that have done well keep doing well (losers lose)
Definition Price Reversal / Mean Reversion
Price trend flips
Prices that moved far from their average revert back
Definition Earnings Momentum
Prices keep drifting (slow continuation) after initial jump in the surprise’s direction after earnings momentum
Firms with strong earnings growth tend to keep outperforming
Related: Earnings Surprise, Standardized Unexpected Earnings (SUE), Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift
Definition Net Stock Issuance
Firms issuing shares tend to underperform
Firms buying back shares tend to outperform
Management Market-Timing Signal Mechanism:
Issuance -> management thinks stock is overvalued
Buyback -> management thinks stock is undervalued
Definition Accounting Accruals
Firms with high accruals (accounting entries, no cash) tend to underperform -> market corrects firm when cash doesn’t hit
Accrual-heavy earnings are lower quality, less sustainable, and easy to manipulate
Low accruas tend to out perform -> trustworthy as cash hits
Definition Insider Trading
Legal insider trading -> insiders disclosed trades signal future performance
Illegal insider trading -> recognized anomalies
Predictor -> insiders profit from undisclosed information
Definition Merger Spread
Gap between target’s current price and the deal’s offer value
Arbitrageur’s potential profit if deal closes
Definition Deal / Completion Risk
Risk that an announced merger fails -> target price crashes
Main risk in merger arbitrage
Example: regulator block, shareholder rejection, failed financing
Definition Merger Arbitrage
Merger arbitrageur buys target at small discount to deal price due to completion risk
Wants to collect the merger spread by bearing the risk until deal closes
Risk Profile Merger Arbitrage
Like selling a put / insurance option
Arbitrageur collects small steady spread (=premium) but suffers large loss if deal fails
Short vol, negative skew, excess kurtosis
Merger Deal Types
Cash Deal
Stock Deal (stock-for-stock)
Definition Cash Deal
Acquirer pays cash for the target (no share swap)
Arbitrageur just buays target at current discounted price and receives fixed offer price at closing
No need to short acquirer -> acquirer stock price irrelevant as fixed payment and no swap
Definition Stock Deal
Acquirer buys target by swapping own shares for target shares
Arbitrageur buys the target -> will receive acquirer shares when deal closes
Short the acquirer to hedge any acquirer stock price volatility before deal closes
Definition Hedge Ratio
Ratio tells you how many acquirer shares to short per target share
Exchange ratio = hedge ratio
Example: 50 acquirer shares for 100 target shares -> short 50 acquirer shares; deal closes you receive 50 acquirer shares which cancel out with 50 shorted shares -> locked-in merger spread
Definition Definitive Agreement
Signed contract locking in merger terms
Point at which deal becomes official
Definition Break / Termination Fee
Penalty one party pays if it walks away from the deal
Can partly cushiosn the arbitrageur if deal collapses
Definition Bidding War
Third party enters merger with higher bid -> sparking bidding war
Source of upside for arbitrageur as target’s price increases and the long position benefits
Definition Merger Regulatory Risk
Risk that regulators block merger on antitrust grounds -> deal recuces competition too much
Major cause of deal failure -> deal announced but regulators refuse
Definition Merger Financing Risk
Risk that acquirer can’t secure funding needed -> cash deals
Types Moments of Return Distribution
1st -> Mean
2nd -> Variance
3rd -> Skewness (cubed deviations)
4th -> Kurtosis
Example Moments of Distribution
Mean
Where is the center?
Average monthly return: +1%
Variance
How spread out are the values around the mean?
Do returns stay near +1% or swing wildly from -10% to +12%
Skewness
Which way are they lopsided?
A few rare -20% months -> pulling tail left (negative skew)
Kurtosis
How often extremes?
Do huge up and downs months (fat tails) happen more often than normal curve predicts
Definition Mean
Average value
Centre point data clusters around
Sum of values / number of values
Definition Variance
How spread out are the values around the mean
Small variance (tightly clustered) & high (wide spread)
Average of squared deviations -> standard deviation
Measure of how asymmetric a distribution is
Which side has longer tail of rare, extreme outcomes
Bell distribution -> zero skew
Types of Skew
Positive Skew (right long tail) -> many small losses, chance of rare large gain
Negative Skew (left long tail) -> many small gains, risk of rare large losses
Definition Skewness
Statistical measure of distribution asymmetry
Is the data lopsided and which way leans it -> named after direction of rare extreme tail (not common outcome)
Skew = general term; skewness = quantified measure
Dislike negative skew (crashes) & like positive skew (upside potential)
Types of Skewness Values
0 = symmetric (bell distribution)
>0 = positive -> right long tail
<0 = negative -> left long tail
Definition Kurtosis
Measures fatness of tails -> how often do extreme events occur
High kurtosis -> leptokurtic; low kurtosis -> platykurtic
Normal distribution Kurtosis of 3
>3 fat tails (more extremes); <3 thin tails (fewer extremes)
Definition Excess Kurtosis
Kurtosis measured relative to normal distribution
Formula: Kurtosis - 3
>0 -> fat tails; <0 -> thin tails
Definition Tail
Long, stretched-out part of the distribution where rare, extreme values sit
Opposite to peak -> thin, trailing edge stretching away from mass
Definition Mean vs. Median
Mean - Average of all values combined
Median - Middle value when all values are sorted in order
Definition Convergence
Tendency of futures prices and spot price to move toward each other and become equal
Future contract gets to maturity -> price closes price to spot price as spot comes nearer
Convergence Impact in Roll Returns
Backwardation (futures below spot) -> future price converges up to spot -> long gains
Contango (futures above spot) -> future price converges down to spot -> long loses
Calculation Risk-Neutral Probability
(Value Strong - Price) / (Value Strong - Value Weak)
Relationship Cap Rate and Property Value
Cap rate and property value move inversely
Cap rate = yield investors demand for holding the property with yield reflecting risk
Property value goes up (lower holding risk) -> investor accept lower yield -> lower cap rate
Calculation: A real estate investment project has a 10-year life and offers $100 in annual taxable income. In addition, the project provides a final $1,000 non-taxable cash flow at the project's end in 10 years. The investor is in the 30% tax bracket and requires a pre-tax rate of return of 8%
Calculate ex-post tax income: $100 * (1-0.3)
Discount tax rate: 8% * (1-0.3)
Calculate PV income: 70 * 1 - (1.056)^-10 / 0.056
Calculate PV lump sum: 1,000 / (1.056)^10
Definition Wasting Assets
Assets gradually losing value over time due to lmited/finite lifespan
Wastes away as it approaches end of useful life
Example Wasting Assets
IP
Options (Theta)
Leases
Natural resources
Equipment
What goes into NOI calculation
Taxes
Insurance
Management fees
Maintenance / repairs
Utilities / Day-to-day
What does not go into NOI calculation
Financing costs
Income tax
Depreciation
CapEx
Definition Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)
Measures how many times NOI covers debt payments
NOI / Debt Service (loan amount * debt cost)
>1 -> covers debt; <1 -> can’t cover debt
Characteristics Infrastructure Funds
10-15 years lifespan (due to capital intensive setup and slower repayment)
60%-90% leverage (can take more due to inflation prected repayments)
4-5 year investment period
Lower volatility & correlation to equities
Net Operating Income vs. Net Income
Net Operating Income: Operating expense only
Net Income: NOI + Financing
Definition Pure Play
Investment providing exposure to a single, specific asset, sector or risk factor
Bet on one thing (no unwanted side exposure)
Definition Leasehold
Right to use property for a fixed period of time without owning the property
Ground rent paid and after lease reverts to freeholder
Leaseholder can finance the land at 100%
No stable returns -> term adjustments, wasting asset, reversion risk (when lease ends)
Definition Freehold
Owner of the property and land, indefinitely
Elastic vs Inelastic Demand
Elastic -> Demand changes based on economy / necessity
Inelastic -> Demand independent of economy / customer styles
Definition Defensive Investment
Investment that holds up well in bad times
Stable, reliable returns
Low sensitivity to business cycles
Deifnition Downward-Sloping Curve
Backwardation -> Future is backed down
Instant demand
High Convencience yield and low inventory
Deifnition Upward-Sloping Curve
Contango -> Costs more in future
Low convience yield and high inventories
What drives high valuations of MLPs
90%+ distributions are being funded by proceeds from issuing new units -> secondary offerings
Artificial valuation increase as distribution and valuation is cycle dependent on raising new capital instead of underlying business performance
Calculation Total Return Film Project
(Probability of Success * Cash Multiple) - Rate of Decline
Risks of VC
Liquidity Risk
Business Risk
Poor Diversification
Organizational Fund Costs
Organization Formation Costs
Expensed immediately to the fund
Cause for Negative J-Curve effect
Definition Default Remedies
Provisions in growth equity contracts that give investor recourse when company defaults
Springing Board remedy -> investor appoints majority of board
Forced Sale remedy -> investor initiates a liquidating transaction
Definition Promissory Note
Written, legally binding promise to pay a specified amount to a lender, on demand or by a set date
Company can issue to satisfy a redemption obligation when lacking cash
Mechanics Direct Listing
Existing shareholders convert private shares to public shares and can decide to hold or sell in public market
Able to sell them directly without lockup period
No new shares -> now new capital raised as in IPO
No underwriter -> cheaper & faster
Pre-Money Valuation
Derived from different measurements such as Accounting / TAM, …
Often used in term sheets or funding discussions (no fluctuations as in Post-Money)
Difference NAV vs. Market Price
NAV -> Actual per-share value of fund’s underlying holdings (what are the assets worth)
Market Price -> Price at which fund’s share trade on exchange (what investors are willing to pay)
Definition Complete Market
Financial market with enough distinct securities to satisfy needs and preferences of all participants
Definition Crowded Market
Many investors are doing the same
High concentration / positioning
Syncratic / Idiosyncratic Prepayments
Syncratic -> Prepayment based on interest rates / economic activity
Idiosyncratic -> Prepayment not based on interest rates / economic activity but rather on the individual
How to increase credit rating of CDOs
Increase size of subordinated tranches
Diversifying reference portfolio
Obtaining external credit enhancement
Mechanic Coupon Accrual
Coupon rate is always paid on par value -> not market value
Coupon payment = coupon rate * par (face) value
Par and not market value as yields move -> price adjusts to narket’s required return
Counterparty Risk in OTC Options
Only long position has counterparty risk -> only in long position there is a claim on underlying
Short position has already paid for premium whereas long waits to get paid
Characteristics IO and PO tranches
IO -> dependent on rates and used as hedge to prepayment -> rates rise: interest rises and loan goes longer (wants to live young)
PO -> loses at interest rate hikes as repayment slows -> pushes principal repayment in future (wants to die young)
Definition Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF)
Rating factor summarizing the average credit quality of a CDO’s collateral pool in a single number (1, 20, etc.)
Par-weighted average -> how likely is the average to default and
Rating is mapped to a rating factor
Higher WARF = lower credit quality = higher expected defaults
Definition Diversity Score
How many independent credits are in a pool -> grouping by industry / region
Higher diversity score = lower correlation = thinner tail risk
Measures how likely are default to arrive at once
General rule MTM in CDS
Spreads widen -> protection buyer gains / protection seller loses
Spreads widen as reference gets higher probability of default assigned
Definition Takeout Provision
Terms under which lender’s position gets repaid or replaced by other capital
Definition Springing Subordination
Conditional arrangement, allowing mezzanine holder to receive interest payments while senior debt is outstanding
Permission evaporates on triggers -> senior default or covenant breach
Definition Blanket Subordination
Prohibits Mezzanine holder from receiving any payments as long as senior debt is outstanding
Definition Acceleration Provision
Remedy that if i.e., borrower defaults or misses payment —> lender can demand the full loan to be paid back immediately
Definition Zero-Coupon Bond
Bond that pays no periodic interest
Bond is offered at discount to face value and face value is realized at maturity
Definition Convertible Bond
Straight Bond + an embedded call option
Value: Straight Bond + Value of embedded call options
Value of Straight Bond -> face value (bind floor)
Value of option -> Options number * Value per option
Definition Dispersion Trade
Volatility / Correlation strategy betting on differences between volatility of an index and its individual stocks
Classic: short index + long stock
Highest returns when low levels of realized correlation
Definition Market Microstructure
Study of how transactions take place in a market
Includes costs, bid and asks, execution of orders
Shareholders Spin-Off
Firms split into two and shareholders automatically become shareholders in both firms -> receive pro-rata shares of newly independent company
No election or cash-out required
Definition Rebate
Interest paid to the short seller (securities borrower) on their posted collateral
Definition Short Squeeze
Rising stock price forces short seller to buy back shares to cover their position and limit losses -> pushing price even higher due to buyback
Definition Bought-in Position
Securities lender recalls the borrowed shares -> forcing short seller tu buy back shares
Deifnition Substitute Dividends
When borrowed stock pays dividend -> short seller must pay dividend to lender
Option Strategy Merger Arbitrage
Long target / short acquirer
For long: Buy call on target or sell put
For short: Buy put or sell call
Definition Curve Flattening
Gap between long and short-term yields narrows -> long-term yield falls relative to short-term yield
Yield falls -> Bond price rises
Flattening -> longer-duration bonds gain the most -> buy long-term & short short-term
Hedge against parallel shift -> need to be duration-neutral
Relationship between Bond Price and Yield Curve
Bond pays fixed cash flow (i.e., 10% p.a.)
When market yields change -> bond price must adjust for return to match new market rate
Yield up -> Price down and vice versa
Bond Price = present value of its future cash flows
Example Macaulay Duration
3-year Bond face value: $1000 / 10% Coupon
Cash flows: $100 in Y1 / $100 in Y2 / $1,100 in Y3
Calculate Present Value -> Payment / (1 * Interest)^Year
Add all of the present values of cash flows to determine duration
Calculation Modified Duration
Macaulay Duration / (1 + Yield)
2.74 / 1.10 = 2.49 years -> 1% in yield change decreases duration of 10%-Coupon from 2.74 years to 2.49 years
Definition Modified Duration
Measure of how much a bond’s price will change for a 1% change in its yield
Modified duration = Multiplier
Mod. duration of 8 -> if yield changes by 1% -> bond price changes by 8%
5-year bond MD of 4 & 10-year bond MD of 8 -> Hedge ratio 2:1 to be duration neutral
Definition Macaulay Duration
Weighted-average time until you receive a bond’s cash flows -> measured in years
Zero-coupon bond -> duration = maturity as cash flow is lump sum
Definition Relative Return
Investment whose performance is measured relative to a benchmark
Goal to track / beat benchmark
Example: Equity mutual funds relative to S&P 500
Differences FoF vs. Multistrats
FoF -> different hedge funds by different managers
Multistrat -> different strategies by one manager / firm
Calculation Survival Probability
Price / Face Value
Calculation Default Probability
1 - (Price / Face)
Definition Fisher Effect
Nominal interest rate = real interest rate + premium for expected (anticipated) inflation
Definition Style Analysis
Determines investment style / factor exposure by analysing what asset class or style the fund resembles
Definition Hedonic Regression Analysis
Valuation technique used to price assets by breaking them into their characteristics / attributes
Relation between significance level vand p-value
Significance level -> required threshold in advance to reject null hypothesis
P-Value -> actual strength of evidence against null hypothesis
P > Significance -> fail to reject H0
P < Significance -> reject -> reject H0
Calculaiton of Simple and Continuous Compounded Returns
Continuos -> Simple: e^return-1
Simple -> Continuous: ln (1+Return)
Effects of Return Smoothing over Returns
Lower volatility -> should be higher
Lower correlation to other assets
Higher autocorrelation
Inflated Sharpe Ratio
Definition Jarque Bera
Statistical check to check if dataset is normally distributed
Measured by skewness and kurtosis together
Big JB values means not normal
Interpretation Jarque Bera and Critical Value
JB > Critical Value -> rejct normality
JB < Critical Value -> fail to reject normality
Definition Durbin-Watson
Statistical test detecting autocorrelation in the errors of a regression
DW = 2 -> no autocorrelation (errors are uncorrelated)
DW > 2 -> negative autocorrelation (positive followed by negative)
DW < 2 -> positive autocorrelation (follow together = positive followed by positive)
Definition First- & Second-Order Correlation
Order Correlation -> lag distance
First-Order Correlation -> correlation with 1 period ago
Second-Order Correlation -> correlation with 2 periods ago
Definition Pearson Correlation
Measures strength and direction of a linear relationship between two different variables
+1 -> Perfect positive linear relationship (X&Y rise together)
0 = No relationship
-1 -> Perfect negative linear relationship
High outliers and normality assumption
Definition Spearman Rank Correlation
Measures strength of a monotonic relationship between two different variables
Is Pearson but ranks the variables to catch any upward or downward trends
Applies for linear & non-linear
Less outliers due to ranking
Application Example Durbin-Watson vs. Pearson / Spearman-Rank
Fund A & Fund B Return Comparison
Durbin Watson: Compare Fund A returns to historic returns -> is the fund correlated with itself
Pearson/Spearman: Compare Fund A with Fund B returns -> do they move together?
Three Real Estate Valuation Approaches
Comparable Sales (for non-income producing properties)
Cost Approach (for new properties)
Income Approach (for income-producing properties)
Axes of the Forward Curve
X-Axis: Time to Maturity
Y-Axis: Futures/Forwards Price
Curve rises (contango) / falls (backwardation) from spot
WHy is higher Risk such as WARF and Diversity Score bad for Senior Tranche
Increases risk -> risk that losses eat through subordination until senior
How to calculate option hedge ratio on durations
Long 1x 8-Year Treasury -> match duration on short; 4-Year Treasury available
1*8 = 4x
X = 2 -> short 2 units of 4-Year
Required Adjustments for Estimating Alpha
Risk-Free Rate
Systematic Risk
Definition Data Mining
Searching / exploring large datasets for patterns
Definition Data Overfitting
Model is too closely tailored to historical data
Capturing noise instead of signal
Definition Data Smoothing
Averaging / dampening data to reduce noise
Calculation Probability of IP
(Value * (Discount + Decline)) / Cash Flow 1
Definition Cross-Collateral Provision
Allows borrower to use property or assets as joint collateral for one or multiple loans
Lender can disallow sale of properties
Total Return Components Mortgages
Interest Rate
Origination Fees
Servicing Fees
Components of Gross Income & NOI Calculation
Fixed Expenses
Variable Expenses
Vacancy Loss Rate
Recent Global Trends in Infrastructure Trends
Government investments in infrastructure sectors -> digital & renewable energy
Transportation during 1990s-2000s
2010s onward -> digital & renewables
Upside Ranking in VC Returns
Venture Capital (10x+)
Growth Equity (2x-5x)
Buyouts (<2x)
Definition Absolute Priority Claim
Order in which claimants are paid
How are Cat Bonds structured?
Private placements
Transfer risk from issuers / sellers to buyers
Repayment of IO/PO Mortgages
I/O -> Interest Only
P/O -> Principal + Interest
Definition Bullet Bond
Bond that repays principal in a single lump sum at maturity -> no amortization
Definition Leveraged Loans
Loans extended to highly leveraged borrowers
Mezzanine investor has right to buy out senior debt
When is a convertible bond strategy most profitable?
Underlying equity's realized volatility exceeds the convertible bond's implied volatility
Definition short / long volatility
Short vol -> position profits from stable markets and loses when volatility spikes -> negatively skewed with fat tails
Long vol -> position profits from increased volatility and loses in calm markets -> positively skewed
Investment position of Activists
Long only without leverage
Definition Busted Bond
Convertible Bond with very high conversion premium
Consequences of Blockchain untrusting
Community untrusts -> user departs & value destroyed
Key Innovation of ETH
Enablement of smart contracts
Fee Layer FoF vs. Multistrat
FoF -> double layer of fee
Multistrat -> fee netting
Characteristics Hurdle Rate Calculation
Hurdle rate is applied per year
Recurring bar -> re-cleared each year
Linked to HWM
Definition Credit Option
Option contract whose payoff is linked to credit quality or credit spread of a reference entity
Buyer pays upfront premium for right (not obligation) to a payoff if specified credit-event occurs
Event: spread widens and credit quality deteriorates -> receives lump sum or option expires
Definition Symmetric / Asymmetric Payoff
Symmetric = Gains / losses are balanced in both directions -> you can profit or lose proportionally to each side
Asymmetric = Gains / losses are lopsided -> capped to one side but open to the other
Characteristics Short Selling Equities
Short equity -> sell, write a call
Long equity -> buy call
Naked call -> Call is written without owning underlying equity to cover the call
Positive skew -> many small gains, rare large losses -> value can only go to 0 therefore upside is capped
Investor Position in Synthetic CDO
Selling credit protection on a referenced basket
Investor sells protection to earn risk yield
Synthetic CDO -> referenced basket
Definition Delta
Measures how much the option’s price changes for $1 change in the underlying asset’s price (delta of 0.5 means option gains 0.5 for every 1 in price increase)
0 to +1 -> calls
-1 to 0 -> puts
Approximates probability of option finishing in the money & hedge ratio
Definition Gamma
Measures how much delta changes for a $1 change in the underlying’s price
Highest for at-the-money options near expiry
Long gamma -> profit from big moves in either direction / short -> small moves
Definition Theta
Measures how much the option’s price changes as time passes (per day) -> time decay
Negative for option buyers -> options lose value as expiry approaches
Positive for option sellers
Accelerates as expiration nears
Definition Vega
Measures how much the option’s price changes for $1 change in implied volatility of underlying
Positive for option buyers (calls / puts gain value when volatility rises)
Long vega -> profit when volatility increases i.e., arbitrage strategies
Definition Rho
Measures how much the option’s price changes for a 1% change in the risk-free interest rate
Positive for calls / negative for puts
Matters more for long duration options
Definition Long/Short Volatility
Long vega/gamma -> buying options & profiting from rising moves
Short vega/gamma -> writing options & profiting from calm markets
Definition Convertible Arbitrage
Long convertible call
Delta Hedged
Definition Attachment Point
Loss level at which the tranche starts to absorb losses
Losses below this are absorbed by moer junior tranches
Definition Detachment Point
Loss level at which the tranche is wiped out
All losses are absorbed and tranche ceases to have any value
Definition Sideways Market
Performance moves horizontally within a range but no clear upwards/downwards trend
Prices repeatedly move back and forth between floor and ceiling
Definition Commodity Pool Operators (CPOs)
Entity operating a pooled investment vehicle -> commodity pool
Fund of funds for commodities with double layer of fees
CPO raises capital from investors and then allocates to one or more CTAs
Definition Commodity Trading Advisers (CTAs)
Professional manager who advises and trades commodoties via futures, fwds, etc.
Primarily in the managed futures space
Definition Managed Futures
Investment strategy actively trading futures, options and other derivatives across different global markets
Independent of assets, sectors and geographies
Both long and short positions
Definition Variance Swap
Derivative contract trading on future realized volatility
Unfunded and starts at zero cost as swap and FWDs
Realized variance > strike -> buyer (long) profits
Realized variance < strike -> seller (short) profits
Calculation Payoff Variance Swap
Notional * (Realized Variance - Strike Variance)
Difference Implied and Realized Volatility
Implied volatility -> volatility expectation priced into the option
Realized volatility -> volatility that actually occured over a period
Definition Blockchain Trilemma
Scalability (handle high transaction volume)
Security (network integrity & attack resistance)
Decentralization (no central control)
Categories of Crypto Coins
Value-adding crypto assets
Value-storing crypto assets
Stablecoins
Security tokens
Governance tokens
NFTs
Memecoins
Definition Value-Adding Crypto Assets
Value driving from providing useful function or service
Platform or smart-contract tokens like ETH
Value tied to usefulness and adoption
Definition Value-Storing Crypto Assets
Held as store of value similar to gold -> BTC
Definition Stablecoins
Coins maintaning a stable value by being pegged to an external reference -> USDC
Purpose is price stability and act as safe haven or gas for transactions
Definition Security & Governance Tokens
Security Tokens -> Ownership of real-world asset on the blockchain
Governance Tokens -> Voting rights on protocol decisions
Definition NFT & Memecoins
NFT -> unique, non-interchangeable digital assets (one-of a kind each such art)
Memecoin -> crypto with little intrinsic function -> driven by community and speculative
Difference VaR & CVaR
VaR: maximum expected loss over a given time horizon at a given confidence level (95% chance that losses won’t exceed $1M)
CVaR: Expected shortfall on value at risk -> Average expected loss when loss exceeds VaR threshold (average of all losses within the 5% tail)
VaR as edge of tail; CVaR as average depth of the tail beyond it
Hybrid security -> corporate bond with embedded option allowing holder to convert into a predetermined number of the issuer’s common shares
Value = Bond floor + Value of embedded conversion option
Definition Basis Risk
Risk of imperfect hedge -> price of hedging instrument and underlying asset do not move perfectly together
Basis = spot price - futures price
Basis Risk -> Gap between spot and future price moves
Definition Principal-Protected Structured Product
Structured Product combining zero-coupon bond with call option on underlying asset
Goal is to guarantee the return of principal at maturity while offering upside participation if the index rises
Payout Profile Principal-Protected Structured Product
Principal (guaranteed return) + Index Gains * Participation Rate)
Zero-Coupon Bond of $1000 maturity value / $900 face value -> $100 as call option on index
Index rises -> get principal + share of index gains
Index falls -> get principal back
Difference in European vs. American Distribution Waterfalls
European -> Fund as a Whole
American -> Deal-by-Deal
Formula Incentive Rate
Incentive fee * 40% * NAV * volatility
Difference IRR & MIRR
IRR -> Rate of Return at which every positive cash flow gets reinvested at the IRR itself until project ends
MIRR -> Rate of Return at which positive cash flows get reinvested at a realistic reinvestment rate
Considerations for calculating the MIRR
RR -> Reinvestment Rate
CC -> Cost of Capital
Formula Variance of Uncorrelated Returns
Variance * Time
Variance: 0.1 and 5 days for business week -> 0.1 * 5 = 0.5
Formula Standard Deviation of Uncorrelated Returns
Variance * Square root of time
0.1 * √5 = 2.24%
Formula Option Pricing
Calculate Payoff (Max value - strike price) -> $30 - $20 = $10
Calculate Payoff/Stock Ratio (Payoff - Max value) -> $10 / $30 = 1/3
Option Price = Payoff * Payoff Ratio = $10 x 1/3 = $3.33
Definition Optimal Contracting
Designing compensation to align interests in cost-effective manner
Cost-effective = marginal benefit > marginal cost
Definition Option View of Incentive Fees
Manager’s incentive fees as a call option on fund’s performance
Manager receives payoff when above threshold but loses nothing when below
Can create perverse incentives for risk-taking
Definition Percentage Rent, Exlusive use clause, Co-tenancy clause, Go-dark clause
Percentage Rent -> base rent + percentage of sales
Exclusive use -> prevents competing tenants in the space
Co-tenancy -> lease dependent on other tenants
Go dark -> tenant stops operating but keeps lease
Formula Required Rate of Return
Risk-Free Rate + Liquidity Premium + Risk Premium
X- & Y-Axis J-Curve
X-Axis: Time
Y-Axis: Cash flows / investment returns
Definition Strategic Merger vs. Secondary Buyout
Strategic Merger -> operating company buys portfolio company due to strategic synergies
Secondary Sale -> Fund B buys portfolio company from Fund A
Definition Conglomerate
Large company that owns multiple businesses in different, often unrelated industries
Definition Liquidity Risk
Unable to sell an investment quickly at fair value
Definition Binary Call option
Binary -> all or nothing
Option that pays fixed, predetermined amount if asset’s price is above strike price or zero if its below
Difference Vanilla vs. Binary Call
Vanilla Call -> Payoff increases scaled to how far above the strike
Binary Call -> Fixed amount
What is a long position in the stock
Stock = Bond + Binary Call
Bond = floor price of stock
Definition Option Cost
Costs of the Binary Call Option
Current Stock Price - Bond
Definition Option Payoff
Stock Price if successful - Bond
Definition Agency Costs
Costs from conflict of interests between shareholders and managers
Include monitoring, bonding and residual costs
Definition Governance Costs
Costs of structuring and enforcing corporate oversight
Definition Parallel and Nonparallel Shifts in the Yield Curve
Parallel Shift -> Every point on the curve means (i.e., interest rises +1% across all maturities) -> Curve stays same just different interest rate
Nonparallel Shift -> Short-term and long-term rates move differently / inversely
Definition Duration-Neutral
Strategy to match duration of long and short positions to make vlaue insensitive to interest rate changes
Definition Market Maker
Definition Intracurve vs. Intercurve Arbitrage Positions
Intracurve -> Hedged Positions within the same yield curve
Intercurve -> Hedged Positions using securities with different yield curves
Definition Curve Steepening vs. Flattening
Steepening -> Gap between long-term and short-term yields widens
Flattening -> Gap between long-term and short-term yields narrows
Market Participant who provides liquidity by quoting both bids and asks to profit from bid-ask spread
Definition DeFi Tokens
Tokens linked to any decentralized finance activities -> lending
Without intermediaries
Definition Uniswap
Decentralized exchange built on ETH allowing users to swap tokens directly via smart contracts
Why are 51% Attacks Unlikely?
Should an attack occur, user trust in the network would quickly dissipate, leading to a decline in value.
Definition Liquidity Facility
Standby borrowing arrangement with a bank to provide temporary cash to bridge short-term liquidity needs
Definition Credit Line
Borrowing arrangement where a bank agrees to preset maximum amount that borrower can draw
Definition Lumpy assets, Indivisible assets, Round-lot assets
Lumpy assets -> Assets in large lumps that cannot be easily subdivided
Indivisible assets -> Assets that cannot be divided into smaller blocks
Round-lot assets -> standard trading quantity of asssets
Calculation Individual Beta
Correlation * (Fund SD / Market SD)
Calculation Correlation
Covariance / (Fund SD * Market SD)
Calculation Covariance
Average of X’s deviation from mean * Average of Y’s deviation from mean
Definition Intercept
Average Ex-Post Alpha of Asset
Dependent Variable when other Independent Variables are zero
Definition Sharpe Ratio
Measures Excess Return per unit of total risk
Excess Return / Total -> Reward per unit of risk
Sharpe penalizes all volatility -> better for normal distributions
Calculation Sharpe Ratio
(Portfolio Return - Risk-free rate) / Standard Deviation
Definition Sortino Ratio
Variation of Sharpe Ratio
Measures excess return per unit of downside risk only
Normally higher than Sharpe as downside deviation < standard deviation
Higher Sortino -> higher risk-adjusted returns
Calculation Sortino Ratio
(Portfolio Return - Risk-free rate) / Downside Deviation
Definition Treynor Ratio
Measures Excess Return Per Unit of Systematic Risk (Beta)
Excess Return / Beta (Systematic Risk)
Calculation Treynor Ratio
(Portfolio Return - Risk-free rate) / Beta
Calculation Standard Deviation
Determine Mean
Calculate the mean deviation per point -> then square
Divide Squared Deviation by Number of returns -1
Take Square Root
Definition Full Collateralization
Contract is backed by collateral equal to the notional principal
Notional Principal = full economic exposure
What does the Jarque-Bera test statistic primarily measure in its calculation?
The degree of skewness and kurtosis in a sample compared to a normal distribution
Definition Fisher Equation
Nominal interest rate = reat interest rate + expected inflation rate
(1 + real inrest) * (1 + expected inflation)
Definition Modified Fisher Equation
Extension of FIsher Equation adding risk premium to account for future inflation
Real rate + Expected Inflation + Risk Premium
Definition Term Structure
Relationship between interest rates and maturity (term) of debt
Uses zero-coupon bonds
Definition Yield Curve
Graph plotting interest rates across different maturities
Uses coupon bonds
Measures price volatility of a bond to changes in interest rates -> adjusted for discrete compounding
Difference between Reduced-Form and Structural Credit Risk Models
Reduced-Form -> market data observations
Structural -> focus on asset volatility and debt structure
Definition R-Squared Value
Coefficient of determination
Tells you how much one dependent variable is explained by an independent variable
Measures from 0-1 -> higher = better fit
Definition T-Test
Statistical hypothesis test to determine if result is statistically significant
(Estimated Value - Hypothesized Value) / Standard Error of Hypothesis
Definition P-Value
Probability of seeing the hypothesized result if the null hypothesis were true
Small P-Value -> strong evidence that result will not appear if null true
Large P-Value -> strong evidence that result will appear if null true
Definition Significance Level
In advanced set threshold at which null hypothesis is rejected
Maximum Probability of Type I Error
Relation P-Value & Significance Level
P-Value > Significance -> Fail to Reject Null
P-Value < Significance -> Reject Null
Definition Cherry-Picking
Selectively presenting data that supports a desired conclusion -> misleading favorable picture
Definition Arbitrage
Risk-free profit earned with no net investment
Definition No-Arbitrage Approach
Principle that pricing of assets must be set that no arbitrage is possible
Spot price similar to exptected spot price
If arbitrage exists -> exploit -> pushes pricing into alignment and decays arbitrage
Definition Bull & Bear Spread
Bull -> bet on price rise -> sell put at lower strike and buy put at a higher strike
Bear -> bet on price fall -> buy call at higher strike and sell call at lower strike
Definition Protective Put
Long position in asset -> long-call exposure
Buying a put option on same asset -> insurance on losses
Unlimited profits and lmited loss potential
Definition Covered Call
Long position in asset
Selling call option
Cover some losses by selling call
Definition Option Collar
Protective Put + Covered Call
Long in put and short in call in same asset and strike price
Both upside and downside capped
Often costless as both option premiums offset each other
Definition Straddle
Both Call and Put on same strike and expiration -> big bet on volatility on either direction
Loses if stock stays flat
Definition Strangle
Like straddle but Call and Put have different strikes
Cheaper than straddle but needs bigger moves
Definition Interest Rate Cap
Contract that sets maximum interest rate for a floating rate loan
If interest rates exceeds reference rate -> cap pays exceeding interest
Similar to call option
Definition Interest Rate Swap
Contract in which two parties exchnage interest rate payments on a notional over short-term
One pays fixed rate vs. other pays floating rate -> swap interest rate oayment streams
Definition Semivariance
Measure of downside risk -> downside deviation
Calculates average of deviations below mean -> emphasis downside
Definition Tracking Error
Measure of how closely portfolio returns follow benchmark returns
Standard Deviation of Portfolio Return - Benchmark Return
Low TR -> close tracking; HIgh TR -> loose tracking
Definition Information Ratio
Measures active return relative to tracking error (risk taken)
Measures how much excess return manager generates per unit of risk
(Portfolio Return - Benchmark Return) / Tracking Error
The higher the better -> good starting from 0.5
Definition Jensen’s Alpha
Excess return above what CAPM / assets of similar risk would return
Portfolio Return - (CAPM)
Effects of Stale Prices on Mean Returns
Prices are not updated to reflect current market conditions
Overweight return before period 1 -> prices of old market conditions
Underweight return in final period -> no updated prices available
Definition Exchange Option
Option to exchange one asset for another asset
Stochastic pricing -> payoff dependes on relative performance of both assets
Definition Royalties
Ongoing payments from licensing IP
Definition Sale License-Back
Strategy where patent holder sells patent to buyer and buyer then licenses patent back to patent seller
Definition Patent Pooling
Multiple patent owners jointly license their patents as a bundle
More complex as income must be divided
Definition Trading Cards
Assets get acquired but not used
Acquisition only to hold for negotiations to ultimately trade
Definition Construction, Mini-perm, Transitional, Permanent, Stretched Mortgage
Construction -> finance new development
Mini-perm -> keep construction loan for 3 years
Transitional -> Acquire + redevelop asset
Permanent -> long-term debt for stabilized asset
Stretched -> Allow higher LTV
Definition Real Estate Operating Company (REOC)
Publicly traded company investing,d eveloping and managing real estate
Taxed as corporation & retains earnings to reinvest
Definition Reversion Cap Rate
Cap rate to estimate terminal value at end of holding period
NOI in end period / Terminal cap rate
PE Firms and Responsibility
Organized as corporations to simplify management responsibilities and personal liability
Definition SPAC IPO & De-SPAC Transaction
SPAC IPO -> Shell company without operations goes public (IPOs) to raise cash & acquire private company
De-SPAC -> merger with target private company and target becomes public as well since SPAC is already public
Definition Convertible Preferred Stock
Preferred stock giving holder right to convert preferred shares into common shares
Important in VC for payment or liquidation priority
Why are Leveraged Loans Attractive?
Higher potential return
Most senior in cap stack -> secured with collateral
Higher Recovery Rates
Unique Characteristic to Mezzanine Debt
Involves board representation or observation rights
Definition Warrant
Security giving the right to buy company stock at specified price before set expiration date
Definition Prepayment on Fixed-Rate Mortgage
Fixed-Rate -> monthly payment does not reduce but total number of payments
Definition Parametric, Indemnity, Industry Loss, Modeled Trigger
Parametric -> specific event within predetermined parameters
Indemnity -> triggered by issuer’s actual losses
Industry Loss -> Payout when losses across industry exceed threshold
Modeled -> Payout when model estimates losses above threshold
Why surrender life insurance policy to third party
Immediate cash -> greater than insurance surrender value
Avoid future payments
Difference Planned Amortization Class (PAC) and Targeted Amortization Class (TAC)
PAC -> tranche with high predictable, stable cash flow with broad range of prepayment speeds -> protected against both prepayments
TAC -> modest cash flow and assured only against fast prepayment -> higher yield
Definition Contraction & Extension Risk
Contraction Risk -> risk of early prepayment
Extension Risk -> risk of later-than expected repayment
Primary Function of CDS Index
Allows investors to take long and short positions in baskets of credits
Shows views on credit market efficiency
Definition Copula Approach
Models the correlation between multiple random variables separately from their distributions
Copula -> couples multiple distributions into joint distribution -> shows movement & tail
Ordinary correlation (Pearson) misses tail dependence
Used to model correlation of defaults
Definition Subordination
Capital Structure Mechanism
Ranking tranches in priority of repayment
Subordination -> always below and shielding another tranche
Definition Credit Enhancement
Set of techniques to improve credit quality
Reduce credit risk
Lower borrowing costs
Make securities marketable
Definition Internal Credit Enhancement
Protection built within the credit structure itself
Subordination / Tranching
Overcollateralization
Excess Spread -> collateral eans more income than borrowing costs
Cash Accounts
Definition External Credit Enhancement
Protection from a thrid party outside the credit structure
Third party guarantees / surety bonds
Insurance wraps
Letters of credit
Definition Fork
Change to the blockchain’s protocol
Network can fork -> split blockchain into different paths
Two types -> changes can be (non-)backward-compatible
Definition Hard & Soft Fork
Hard Fork -> radical, backward-incomapttible change to blockchain protocol -> permanent split so all users must update
Soft Fork -> backward-compatible change to protocol -> nodes on old software can still validate
CTA actively trading futures, options on futures and other derivatives
Trading across broad range of markets
Both long and short positions -> crisis alpha
Definition Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Momentum indicator -> measures speed and magnitude of recent price changes within period (14 periods)
Assess whether market is overbought or oversold
100 - (100 / 1+RSI)
Calculation RSI
RSI = average gain / average loss over period
100 - (100 / 1+RS)
Above 70 -> overbought (prices increased a lot)
Below 30 -> oversold (prices fell a lot)
Around 50 -> neutral
Definition KS-PME
Performance benchmarking metric for private equity
Compares return of PE investment to what same CFs would have returned in public market index
>1 -> PE beat public index / <1 -> Public index beat PE
Definition Total Return Swap (TRS)
Derivative exchanging total return of a reference asset for a periodic (floating) payment
One party gets full economic exposure while paying financing rate -> receives income + market price increase -> has to pay depreciation
Bears both Credit and Market Risk
Definition Credit Default Swap (CDS)
Derivative exchanging only the credit risk of a reference asset -> protection buyer pays premium to protection seller who will compensate in case of default
Short (buy protection) & long (sell protection)
Definition Delta-Hedged
Delta -> sensitivity to an option’s price for an $1 change in the underlying
Position that is neutral to small changes in the underlying’s asset price by offsetting the position’s delta
Doesn’t gain from small gains / losses
Definition Convexity
Curvature in the relationship between an options price and underlying asset price
Measures how sentivity (delta/duration) moves to changes
Options convexity -> how does the delta changes as underlying changes
Bond convexity -> how does duration changes
Definition Relative Value Multistrat
HF pursuing multiple strategies simultaneously under one fund
Profit from pricing discrepancies between related securities
Hedging out market direction -> just bet on price convergence of related securities
Definition Diversified FoF
Invests across broad range of hedge fund strategies
Macro, Equity, Event-Driven, Relative Value
Definition Conservative FoF
Strategies with lower volatility -> stability / capital preservation
Concentration on lower-risk strategies -> equity-market neutral
Definition Strategic FoF
Maximize total returns -> more risk to directional strategies
Equity hegde or EM
Definition Market Defensive FoF
Sekking uncorrelated returns to stock and bonds -> lower downside risk -> perform in down markets
Macro, diversified and short-selling -> crisis hedge
Definition Jarque-Bera
Statistical tets for normality -> determines whether returns follow normal distribution
Examines skewness and excess kurtosis
JB > Critical value -> reject normality (data is not normally distributed)
Critical value > JB -> fail to reject normality (data is normally distributed)
Forms of Market Efficiency
Weak Form -> only historical data
Semi-Strong -> all publicly available data
Strong -> all publicly + private data available
Definition Continuous Compounding
Interest is compounded infinitely often
Simple -> Continuous: ln (1 + Return)
Continuous -> Simple: e^(Return - 1)
Definition Discrete Compounding
Interest is calculated and added at specific, finite intervals
PV * (1 + (rate / number of computing periods))^ number of computing periods * years
Number of computing periods -> Annual = 1 / Semi-Annual = 2 / Monthly = 12
Definition Simple & Log Returns
Simple Returns -> Pecentage change in value over a period
Log Returns -> continuously compounded
Definition Normal & Lognormal Distribution
Normal distribution -> log returns are normally distributed -> bell curve
Lognormal distribution -> returns are normally distributed then prices are lognormal and can’t go below tero (no negative prices)
Kurtosis of Leptokurtic, Mesokurtic, Platykurtic
Leptokurtic -> Excess Kurtosis > 3 (more outliers)
Mesokurtic -> Excess Kurtosis = 3 (normal)
Platykurtic -> Excess Kurtosis < 3 (fewer outliers)
Types of Yield Curve Movement
Parallel Shift -> all maturities move similar
Steepening -> long term rates rise more than shorts (spreads widen)
Flattening -> long term rates fall more than shorts (spreads narrow)
Twists / Butterflies -> different maturities move differently
Difference Buying & Writing Option
Buying -> right to sell / buy; pay premium and long the option
Writing -> obligation to buy/sell; collect premium and short the option
Zuletzt geändertvor 13 Stunden